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Philippe d'Arvisenet
Business Picks Up   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

Good news has been accumulating for several months. Growth accelerated in Q2, and surveys show a real improvement in future prospects. Less uncertainty over the euro zone economy has apparently...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Will It Last ?   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

Activity finally switched back to growth in the second quarter of 2013, posting, the first increase since late 2011. Domestic demand was a key factor behind this rebound, which may suggest that the...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Bright Horizons   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

Following general elections on 22 September, the Christian Democratic Union get very close to a super-majority its best score in more than 20 years. Nonetheless it lost its traditional ally the FDP...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
First Shoots Of Recovery   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

With the 0.5% rebound in growth during the second quarter, plus the tangible improvement in confidence indicators over the past four to five months, more and more signs of economic recovery have been...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Turning Point   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

The pace of contraction of the GDP has further diminished in the second quarter, paving the way for some positive readings starting next quarter. The rebound in exports and better expectations make...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Grenn Shoots   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

After more or less stabilising in Q2, the Spanish economy should start to recover from Q3 thanks to exports. PMI indices for August moved up above the expansion threshold in both industry and...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
No Loosening   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

Private consumption alone is supporting growth. In the absence of other growth drivers, the economy is struggling to deliver even 2% growth. The government intends to launch infrastructure projects to...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Rising Risks   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

India, alongside Indonesia, was the Asian country hit hardest by massive capital outflows this summer. Several factors fuelled this capital flight, including the country’s external vulnerability...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Nearly There   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

Despite the relapse of the past quarters, the Irish economy is on track to a lasting recovery. The real estate bubble has been completely absorbed, the unemployment rate has begun to decline and PMI...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
A Torrid Summer   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

Already present in late spring, financial pressures worsened over the summer months. Market expectations of the ending of the Fed’s ultra-accommodating monetary policy, combined with local...

Philippe d'Arvisenet
Doing Well   By Philippe d'Arvisenet - Sep 29, 2013

The improvement of euro area’s surveys is going on, and the main engine of this improvement may not be the German economy anymore. The European Commission’s Economic Sentiment Indicator...

Steven Hansen
Are Taxes Making The Middle Class Poorer? By Steven Hansen - Sep 29, 2013

Last week, the Census Bureau, as part of their 2012 American Community Survey, published median income data for 2012. One question comes to mind: Is income tax widening the income gap which is slowing...

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