Market Overview

These next eight to ten days will be quite interesting as the outcome of some events will unfold, as the Fed policy and election uncertainties will create headaches for market players.The Fed has a...

HighlightsThe Non-Recovery, Recovery The "Great Recession" of 2007-2009 was a huge wake up call. The economy contracted the most since the "Great Depression" of the 1930's. Unemployment soared....

Economic CommentaryQatar’s Ministry of Development Planning and Statistics (MDPS) released GDP data for the second quarter of 2016 last week. In real terms, the economy picked up by 2.0%...

The ultimate lesson for learning not to rely on one quarter of GDP growth was actually two quarters. In the middle of 2014, GDP posted back-to-back gains that at the time seemed nothing less than...

Where do we go from here? If the monetary system is broken, how do we fix it so that the global economy can be mercifully released from the "dollar's" gripping vise? The short answer is that it is too...

With a surprise $85 billion bid for Time Warner Inc (NYSE:TWX), AT&T's (NYSE:T) CEO Randall Stephenson is betting big on the future of mobile video. The marriage would pair Time Warner’s...

Successful market timers, meaning profitable market timers, have several common beliefs that help them achieve consistent profits.On the flip side of this, those who are unsuccessful also have a set...

Speculators in the futures market increased their gross long sterlingposition by nearly 20% to 63.6k contracts (+11k) in the reporting week ending October 25. In mid-September the gross long position...

With 10 days left before U.S. voters cast their ballots for the next president, we've just learned that FBI Director James Comey has reopened their investigation into Hillary Clinton's handling of...

The Advance Estimate for Q3 GDP, to one decimal, came in at 2.9%, a surprisingly large increase over the 1.4% Third Estimate of Q2. The latest number exceeded mainstream estimates. The Atlanta Fed's...

Long before the UK referendum, many argued that monetary union was undermining the European Union. Many had expected Greece to be forced out not once but twice.There is a cottage industry of books...

FX Quant Strategy provides a quantitative overview of the currency market, including several valuation tools and monitors, focusing on the FX options market.This week we recommend one FX option trade...

The ECB has a large number of decisions to make at the next meeting in December . The most important will be whether to extend QE purchases, by how much and for how long, together with the decision on...

Inferring recession probabilities from one indicator is a dodgy way to monitor business-cycle risk, but it’s forever popular. Last week I criticized an effort to estimate recession risk by using...