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Much of our national debate proceeds as if China and America were locked in a zero-sum game in which one's loss is precisely the other's gain. When you are the parent of a growing child, the holiday...
We discuss the value of money in this video, digging deeper into the philosophical and psychological aspects of wealth. Most people are not mentally equipped to handle large sums of money.
The US created a net new 156k jobs in December, which was slightly disappointing. The average work week slipped unexpectedly. However, most the rest of the jobs report was constructive.The 17k upward...
Note: This commentary has been updated to include Friday morning's release of Nonfarm Employment for December.Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating...
The most striking development among speculative positioning at the end of last year and the first session of 2017 is not that adjustments were small. There was only one gross speculative position...
The Weekly VC Price Momentum Indicator ETF’s, Futures Swing Trading Instructions weekly 1.6.17Signals are automatically generated by integrating electronic prices and weekly statistics with...
Incoming US president Donald Trump has been running on a political ticket to re-negotiate trade deals. He has been promising “fairer” deals that would reduce US trade deficits and preserve...
Today’s US jobs report may not be the most eagerly anticipated in years but with markets as volatile and, some may argue, vulnerable as they are, we could be in for an eventful end to the...
FTSE -4 points at 7191DAX -12 points at 11572 CAC -3 points at 4897 Euro Stoxx 50 -3 points at 3313 The US dollar pared gains against all G10 currencies after the aggressive sell-off in New York...
The December jobs report is due out today. We estimate job growth was around 170,000 in line with the recent trend. The unemployment rate fell to 4.6% in November, the lowest level post-crisis....
We see further upside for both 10Y Bund yields and 10Y US Treasury yields on a 6M to 12M horizon. We expect the market to price in an ECB tapering premium and the focus on 'reflation' to continue and...
US treasury yields tumbled sharply as markets corrected the post election rally. Surge in yields since November was driven by anticipation of Donald Trump's policies of higher spending, lower taxes...
If you’re a longtime Crowdability reader, you’ll recognize that today’s article is part of a tradition.Each year, Matt and I try to identify the fastest-growing market sectors and...
A large team of officers and staff affiliated with the Federal Reserve (eight with the Board in DC, five with the FR Bank of New York, one with the FRB of Chicago) have collaborated on a new paper on...
Two central banks were particularly active today. Chinese officials appear to be engineering short squeeze that has lifted the yuan 1.2% over the past two sessions. While this does not sound like...