Market Overview

EM AsiaWith 100 days of unexpected clear sailing for Asia FX under our belts, local EM currencies continued to strengthen despite the reflationary trade fading and commodity prices flagging as inflows...

US political rollercoaster The US political roller coaster is showing little sign of abating despite the House of Representatives and the Senate passing a 1-week Continuing Resolution funding the...

Back on March 10, the New York Fed’s attempt at real-time GDP forecasting predicted that the Q1 2017 estimate would be 3.2%. That would have qualified as another decent quarter, the second out...

Those that were predicting that the U.S. economy would be flying high by now have been proven wrong. U.S. GDP grew at the worst rate in three years during the first quarter of 2017, and many are...

In addition to a miserable performance in the auto sector and a very poor GDP report, the Trump Era Brings Rare Drop in Loans at America’s Regional Banks. Bank stocks have climbed since Donald...

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in March, 2017 for February, 2017. At that time, the iShares US Home Construction (NYSE:ITB) was at the bottom of what turned out to be a very...

The first reading for Q1 2017 GDP came in at a weak .7% at an annualized rate. A particularly weak component of the report was consumer spending which rose only .3% and is the weakest level for...

Note: The charts in this commentary have been updated to include the Q1 2017 Advance Estimate released this morning. The chart below is a way to visualize real GDP change since 2007. It uses a stacked...

The Advance Estimate for Q1 GDP came in at 0.7% (0.69% to two decimals), down from 2.1% in the Third Estimate of Q4 GDP. With a per-capita adjustment, the headline number is lower at -0.05% to two...

Today's release of the publicly available data from ECRI (Economic Cycle Research Institute) puts its Weekly Leading Index (WLI) at 143.2, down 1.0 from the previous week and the lowest since December...

Never write a covered call or sell a cash-secured put if there is an earnings announcement due prior to contract expiration. This is such an important rule in the BCI methodology. However, we all know...

Intellectuals solve problems. Geniuses prevent them. -Albert Einstein When you are an active money manager, it is probable you own the equities of individual companies. During quarterly reporting...

Last week’s review of the macro market indicators saw with April Options Expiration behind, the equity markets were a bit stronger than the prior week in the short term and still in...

U.S. stocks oscillated around the flatline before ultimately closing with mild gains as the global markets continued to grapple with political uncertainty. A plethora of earnings reports hit the...