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Large Speculators Boost US Dollar Bullish Positions For 3rd Week

Published 07/19/2015, 01:47 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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Weekly Large Trader COT Report: Currencies

USD: COT Large Speculators Sentiment

US dollar net speculator positions rose last week to +$27.29 billion

The latest data for the weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Friday, showed that large traders and currency speculators increased their overall net bullish positions in the US dollar last week for a third straight week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar long position totaling +$27.29 billion as of Tuesday July 14th, according to the latest data from the CFTC and dollar amount calculations by Reuters. This was a weekly change of +$1.53 billion from the +$25.76 billion total long position that was registered on July 7th, according to the Reuters calculation that totals the US dollar contracts against the combined contracts of the euro, British pound, Japanese yen, Australian dollar, Canadian dollar and the Swiss franc.

Last week’s data brings the US dollar speculative level to the highest level since June 9th, when net positions stood at +$34.70 billion.

Weekly Speculator Contract Changes:

Weekly changes for the major currencies showed that large speculators increased their bets in favor of just the Japanese yen, while decreasing weekly bets for the euro, British pound sterling, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar, Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar and the Mexican peso.

This latest COT data is through Tuesday July 14th and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers and traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar, while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.

Please see the individual currency charts and their respective data points below. (Click on Charts to Enlarge)

Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price

EuroFX:

Euro: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 436540 8137 176715 -30421 -137974 27538
20150616 350145 -86395 122971 -53744 -89357 48617
20150623 345427 -4718 131909 8938 -99306 -9949
20150630 346115 688 134756 2847 -100035 -729
20150707 354885 8770 141478 6722 -99266 769
20150714 356760 1875 143924 2446 -107781 -8515

British Pound Sterling:

GBP: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 181049 5758 30440 1926 -28277 -2619
20150616 146635 -34414 25547 -4893 -25434 2843
20150623 178641 32006 15587 -9960 -22194 3240
20150630 181413 2772 7118 -8469 -12759 9435
20150707 168480 -12933 21171 14053 -22973 -10214
20150714 157073 -11407 23213 2042 -24199 -1226

Japanese Yen:

JPY: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 306449 46345 174477 33631 -116286 -30593
20150616 262329 -44120 130620 -43857 -80664 35622
20150623 247839 -14490 135324 4704 -87717 -7053
20150630 254014 6175 117282 -18042 -78822 8895
20150707 250828 -3186 100465 -16817 -63629 15193
20150714 247704 -3124 83497 -16968 -47371 16258

Swiss Franc:

CHF: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 33813 1364 -5885 -1012 10129 1770
20150616 19852 -13961 -1509 4376 5358 -4771
20150623 21869 2017 -3348 -1839 7072 1714
20150630 21472 -397 -3501 -153 6855 -217
20150707 23740 2268 169 3670 6121 -734
20150714 22390 -1350 1305 1136 3081 -3040

Canadian Dollar:

CAD: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 118799 -4328 22678 10344 -13745 -12720
20150616 118620 -179 22962 284 -12281 1464
20150623 81380 -37240 24406 1444 -17579 -5298
20150630 91797 10417 30753 6347 -23450 -5871
20150707 120095 28298 47453 16700 -32268 -8818
20150714 138431 18336 60728 13275 -40726 -8458

Australian Dollar:

AUD: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 165681 9207 34010 499 -14027 -771
20150616 119362 -46319 19713 -14297 -4048 9979
20150623 116184 -3178 24475 4762 -9052 -5004
20150630 118443 2259 28743 4268 -12031 -2979
20150707 135648 17205 47565 18822 -22197 -10166
20150714 148406 12758 60101 12536 -33541 -11344

New Zealand Dollar:

NZD: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 36911 3906 15032 1845 -11795 -1256
20150616 37169 258 12698 -2334 -9168 2627
20150623 42911 5742 17506 4808 -13563 -4395
20150630 43256 345 20163 2657 -16066 -2503
20150707 42873 -383 22164 2001 -18348 -2282
20150714 42311 -562 23537 1373 -19654 -1306

Mexican Peso:

MXN: COT Futures Sentiment

Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions

Date Open Interest Change OI Net Commercial Positions Weekly Com Changes Net Large Specs Positions Weekly Spec Changes
20150609 179026 26217 55973 7734 -51132 -6005
20150616 133660 -45366 54422 -1551 -52490 -1358
20150623 111876 -21784 31172 -23250 -27867 24623
20150630 111471 -405 42553 11381 -38759 -10892
20150707 140418 28947 77155 34602 -72415 -33656
20150714 153639 13221 77500 345 -72718 -303

*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators).

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