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Large Caps Continue Gains; Russell 2000 Primed For Breakout

Published 04/19/2021, 12:55 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Friday saw the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrials continue to post gains as other indices drifted along in narrow trading. 

The S&P is on a ribbon rally of small, steady gains that brings its relationship to the 200-day MA to 16.1%, which is between the 99% to 95% of historic price extremes; this is a rally which is running hot.  There is no slowdown in technical strength, or bearish divergences to worry about, and relative performance remains good after an extended period of underperformance—so no reason to not see this rally continue despite its extended nature.

SPX Daily Chart

The NASDAQ and Russell 2000 had similar days, with little net change and both rallies remaining below prior swing highs. The NASDAQ still enjoys good technical strength, and relative to the Russell 2000, so Friday's quiet action was of little concern to the big picture.

COMPQ Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 (via IWM) remains contained by its handle, but primed for a breakout. Keep a watchful eye.

IWM Daily Chart

For the coming week we will want to see the Russell 2000 push on and join in the gains of Large Caps (and NASDAQ, if it follows suit). 

Latest comments

Where does this infinite optimism for ever lasting rise come from?? Like some artificial stimulus money would keep the illusion of strong economy live... Bubble says pop.
hello
Maybe a breakdown haha
hello
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