The trend in weekly initial jobless claims (AWIC), down since 2009 and defined by its PDT, should reverse in 2015. A close above PDT, an event likely to lead the coming economic contraction, triggers an upside breakout. This change of direction, a transition from economic stability to instability, will mark an increase in volatility across all markets and will mark a shift from public sector assets to private sector assets. For example, a transition from sovereign debt to stocks. This backdrop could send stocks soaring despite a backdrop of rising interest rates - an outcome recorded by history but recognized as impossible by modern investment dogma.