To be successful, active investors have to watch (and create) indicators that the mainstream media do not follow.
Trading is hard, requiring discipline and a strict set of rules.
Today, we look at a unique set of sectors and their binary price action: “Monthly” charts of the Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (NYSE:DBA) versus the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT).
As you can see, Ag and treasuries have moved opposite each other for nearly 17 years.
That said, the past 4 years have seen a significant bounce against the trend.
Is it time for a DBA to reverse to the downside? And TLT to reverse higher? Or will DBA breakout?
In my humble opinion, what happens here is a big deal. Stay tuned.