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Housing Market: Which Stocks To Buy (and Avoid) Right Now

Published 10/03/2017, 06:39 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
LEN
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KBH
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HD
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OZK
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NYCB
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  • (0:45) - Residential Homebuilding: Single Family Market
  • (5:45) - Apartment Building On The Rise
  • (11:20) - The Fed Is Concerned With Increased Building: Should The Banks Be Worried?
  • (16:00) - Where To Invest In The Homebuilding Market?
  • (19:15) - Episode Roundup: Podcast@Zacks.com

Welcome to Episode #101 of the Zacks Market Edge Podcast.

Every week, host and Zacks stock strategist, Tracey Ryniec, will be joined by guests to discuss the hottest investing topics in stocks, bonds and ETFs and how it impacts your life.

In this episode, Tracey is joined by Zacks Chief Equity Strategist and Editor of the Large Cap Trader, John Blank, to discuss what is going on in the housing sector.

Several home builders have already reported third quarter earnings.

Both KB Home (NYSE:KBH) and Lennar (NYSE:LEN) had solid reports, with both seeing an increase in their average price home. Orders and backlogs are also on the rise for both companies.

And while home prices are hitting new highs in many big cities, mortgage rates still remain near all-time lows and the job market is strong.

Should investors be jumping back into the homebuilders?

Millennial Renters

Since 2011, over 1.5 million new apartments have been built across the United States with thousands more still in the pipeline.

These buildings have mostly been “luxury” apartments with expanded amenities including spas, rock climbing walls and swimming pools, designed to appeal to young Millennials.

But some are now worried about excess supply and that a big apartment bust could be coming.

Multi-Family Lending: A Danger?

In early 2017, the Federal Reserve ordered the largest banks to set out how they would fare if rental apartment values fell by more than 35%.

The largest lenders of multifamily loans, at the end of 2016, were, no surprise, the largest banks like JP Morgan (JPM) and New York Community Bancorp (NYSE:NYCB) .

But many smaller banks like Dime Community Bancshares DCOM and Bank of the Ozarks (NASDAQ:OZRK) have also gotten into the act and have large multifamily loan portfolios.

There is a real fear of an apartment bust. But is it exaggerated?

John explains what happens at the end of a lending cycle and whether or not we’re there right now in multifamily loans.

Housing Retailers Showing Strength

Maybe the way to “play” the resurgence of housing is through the retailers like Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Restoration Hardware RH?

Home Depot has some of the strongest comparable store sales in the entire industry. Last quarter, it saw 6.6% same store sales in the United States.

When Millennials move into a new apartment, or buy a home, they will inevitably buy furniture, rugs, lamps and accessories.

What else should you know about the housing market and investing opportunities?

Tune into this week’s podcast to find out.

[In full disclosure, Tracey owns RH in her personal portfolio.]

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Bank of the Ozarks (OZRK): Free Stock Analysis Report

Home Depot, Inc. (The) (HD): Free Stock Analysis Report

Lennar Corporation (LEN): Free Stock Analysis Report

KB Home (KBH): Free Stock Analysis Report

New York Community Bancorp, Inc. (NYCB): Free Stock Analysis Report

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