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Gold's Recovery Falters After Fed's Hawkish Skip

By Alex BoltyanCommoditiesJun 14, 2023 04:38PM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/golds-recovery-falters-after-feds-hawkish-skip-200639045
Gold's Recovery Falters After Fed's Hawkish Skip
By Alex Boltyan   |  Jun 14, 2023 04:38PM ET
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Gold prices fell sharply and erased intraday gains following the Federal Reserve's decision to skip a rate hike on Wednesday.

At the time of writing, the spot price, XAU/USD, is trading at the $1,945 area, little changed on the day, having pulled back from an intraday peak of $1,960 an ounce.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced its decision to maintain the target range for the federal funds unchanged at 5.00%-5.25% following ten consecutive hikes. Although the (unanimous) decision was widely anticipated on the back of cooler inflation figures for May, the dot plot and Chair Jerome Powell's speech offered a hawkish message and boosted the US dollar.

The Fed economic projections showed that most FOMC members anticipate the terminal rate to reach the 5.50%-5.75% range. At the presser, Powell noted that risks of overdoing and underdoing are closer to being in balance and highlighted that rate cuts wouldn't be appropriate this year.

XAU/USD Daily Chart
XAU/USD Daily Chart

This hawkish stance boosted US Treasury yields across the curve, with the 10-year yield rising from 3.78% to 3.85% and the 2-year from 4.64% to 4.80%. The US dollar strengthened, and gold took a hit as higher interest rates increase the metal's opportunity cost while reducing the demand as a hedge against inflation.

From a technical perspective, XAU/USD holds a short-term bearish bias according to indicators on the daily chart. A loss of the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1,940 would expose the $1,900 area. On the other hand, a recovery past the 20-day SMA at the $1,960 area is needed to improve the short-term outlook, aiming at the $2,000 level.

Gold's Recovery Falters After Fed's Hawkish Skip
 

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Gold's Recovery Falters After Fed's Hawkish Skip

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Comments (2)
gyasuddin Nagori
gyasuddin Nagori Jun 15, 2023 4:07AM ET
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Hello sir gold price max how much dip will be? And how deep will the maximum pump be?
Steve Hacinlioglu
Steve Hacinlioglu Jun 15, 2023 3:41AM ET
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I'm looking for an analyst with one hand only. Otherwise, they all just say, "On the other hand"
 
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