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Gold Stocks: Up, Up, And Away

Published 08/27/2019, 02:06 PM
Updated 02/07/2024, 08:50 AM

A year ago, I predicted that any US stock market sell-off would be accompanied by a dramatic surge in the price of VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDX) an VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners (NYSE:GDXJ).

That’s exactly what happened; the stock market tanked and key gold stocks soared.

This year, I’m predicting that any major US stock market crash will again be accompanied by the soaring price of the gold producers…

But I’m also predicting that most CDNX-listed junior explorers are set to soar too!

CNBC On Market Selloff Risk

America’s top money printing cheerleader (President Trump) brags that his government essentially has the Chinese government cowering in a corner. He claims they are ready to throw in the white towel in the trade war. Reality check:

It’s obvious that major money managers are becoming very concerned about these tariff taxes.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

This is the horrifying US stock market chart.

On the one hand, private enterprise must be respected. Great companies exist and prosper in the socialist nations of Europe and in China. They will continue to prosper.

The drive of entrepreneurs must never be underestimated, even in the harshest conditions.

On the other hand, when governments unveil growth-negative policies like tariff taxes and money printing, stock markets can experience dramatic declines. These declines are usually temporary, but they are very painful.

Gold Stocks Vs. Gold

This is the important gold stocks versus Gold chart.

I call it the “Just buy” chart, because there really isn’t much else to do here except buy, buy, and buy!

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That’s especially true for core position enthusiasts. Gold stocks are incredibly cheap compared to gold bullion.

Weekly Gold

Also, I believe investors can make the most money in the market buying when their analysis has gone awry. The “Golden Beeline” chart.

Many gold analysts have tried to “top call” gold since the rally from about $1167 began. This has been a mistake and I believe it will continue to be a mistake in the months ahead.

A gargantuan bull continuation pattern is forming on the weekly gold chart. It’s an inverse H&S pattern with a potential neckline in the $2000 area.

This is not a time to sell gold or top call it. It’s a time to buy, sit back, and watch those positions fly! Here’s why:

Institutional money managers are adding gold to their portfolios. These are not highly leveraged hedge funds gambling on the COMEX.

They are unleveraged institutions. They are serious players who understand the destructive nature of the Trump tariff taxes. These taxes are being implemented as the business cycle peaks and with relentless ramp-up of US government spending and debt.

This horrifying scenario has superstar managers like Ray Dalio predicting serious inflation and potential rioting in the streets.

Please click here now: Top money managers are concerned that stagflation is emerging as the Fed is forced to print money and cut rates to offset the taxes. They are not buying gold, silver, and the miners for a “quick flip”. This is long-term allocation.

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GDX

This is the fabulous GDX chart.

Profit-lock enthusiasts can buy a breakout over $30 and place a stoploss at $27.50. A move above $30 opens the door for a violent surge to $37-$39.

From there, core positions can be added on a pullback to about $30. Nervous investors can buy put options to manage their emotions, but everyone else should be in “Buy & Fly!” mode alongside the institutional money managers. Today’s Superman is a man of gold and looking at GDX (NYSE:GDX) today, I believe he would say… Up, up, and away!

Stewart Thomson is a retired Merrill Lynch broker. Stewart writes the Graceland Updates daily between 4am-7am. They are sent out around 8am-9am. The newsletter is attractively priced and the format is a unique numbered point form. Giving clarity of each point and saving valuable reading time.

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