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EUR/USD: New Low Ahead

Published 01/09/2013, 07:34 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The EUR/USD is trading near 1,3050 right now. Although the pair managed to reach just above 1,31, back testing the broken upward sloping trend line as expected, it did not have enough fuel and buyers to support it.

The rising pattern from 1,30 is overlapping and not impulsive. The only viable bullish scenario is that we are now inside a smaller degree wave ii up. However this version has several drawbacks. The second wave ii is too much bigger than the larger degree wave II, something that is not usual. Therefore bulls should be very cautious as prices could retest 1,30. If that's broken, prices would then test the 76,8% retracement at 1,2975.
<span class=EUR/USD 2 Hours" title="EUR/USD 2 Hours" width="557" height="391">
After the back test, prices have started to move downwards making lower lows and lower highs. This is characteristic of a down trend. Confirmation will come if prices break below 1,3015 low. Until then, the following bullish wave count is the most probable scenario.
EURUSD 2 Hours 2
Those who favor short positions and believe that 1,2975 will be achieved, could use as a stop, the last high made at the 1,3098 level.

Disclosure: None of the information or opinions expressed in this blog constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Nothing in this article constitutes investment advice and any recommendations that may be contained herein have not been based upon a consideration of the investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities or other instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions.

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Latest comments

wow, could you have been any more wrong on this call?
did you read the article or just the headline....and after you read it, check the previous posts I made about eurusd..inside the post I mention that the bullish scenario is the most probable and that 1.3015 should be used for bulls stop and 1.3098 for bears....there you go....
additionally my initial post as you can see in my site has questionmarks on the title, something that the editor here omitted.
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