After a rapid sell-off form the 1.390 highs the EUR/USD appears a little rattled as it prepares to build strength for its next move. But, as always the questions remains, which direction will that be?
EUR/USD WEEKLY:
After 1.39 was briefly tested we rapidly began to reverse - the market just did not want to go higher on this occasion. Since then we have produced 2x weekly bearish candles (Shooting Star and Bearish Belt Hold). This week we have briefly broken beneath the low of last week;s and already tested the 1.3650 pivotal S/R.
I consider 1.3650 to bea an area to watch out for and may provide clues for the next few trading session, perhaps even longer.EUR/USD Weekly Chart" title="EUR/USD Weekly Chart" width="452" height="684">
EUR/USD DAILY:
Here you can more easily see why 1.3650 is a pivotal level. We are currently sandwiched between this and a rising trendline. The bears may well be looking at the fact we have broken beneath 1.65 and the prior swing low, and awaiting a break of the current (valid) trendline as another opportunity to get short. In the event we do break beneath the trendline, then 1.3328 and 1.3100 are my next targets.
However the euro has fooled me many times last year and continued to grind higher after generating many bear signals.
So, in the event the trendline continues to hold and we break back above 1.3650 level the bullish trend remains intact and buying opportunities would be the preferred option. EUR/USD Daily Chart" title="EUR/USD Daily Chart" width="452" height="684">
SUMMARY:
- Bullish above 1.3650
- Bearish beneath break of trendline and maintains beneath 1.650
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