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Elliott Wave View: DXY Ending 5 Waves Decline

Published 02/16/2018, 12:33 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM

DXY US dollar Index Short-term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to February 09.2018 peak at 90.57 ended Primary wave ((4)) in a Flat correction. Down from 90.57 high the decline is unfolding as Elliott Wave Impulse Sequence, where each leg has an internal distribution of 5-3-5 structure thus favored being an Impulse sequence. The DXY has managed to see a break below January 25 low (88.43) thus confirming more downside extension in Primary wave ((5)) lower.

From 2/09 high (90.57) cycle the DXY is close to ending that cycle in Intermediate wave (1) lower in 5 waves impulse, where internals for wave (1) lower ended Minor wave 1 at 89.38 and Minor wave 2 ended at 90.12 high. Minor wave 3 ended at 88.58 low, Minor wave 4 bounce ended at 88.96 high and below from there Minor wave 5 of (1) remains in progress. Which is expected to end in between 88.21-87.95 area lower but in case of further extension in Minor wave 5 could see as low as 87.78-87.50 5=1 target area. Afterwards, the index should do a bounce in Intermediate wave (2) for the correction of 2/09 peak (90.57) in 3, 7 or 11 swings before further downside extension is seen. We don’t like buying the index into a proposed bounce and as far as a pivot from 2/09 high (90.57) remains intact index should find sellers in 3, 7 or 11 swings for further downside.

DXY 1 Hour Elliott Wave Chart

Elliott Wave View: DXY Hourly Chart

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