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Daily Currency Outlook: EUR/JPY And GBP/JPY : August 29,2018

Published 08/29/2018, 04:32 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
EUR/JPY
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GBP/JPY
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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.66; (P) 129.97; (R1) 130.35;

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside despite mild loss in upside momentum. Current rally from 124.89 should target resistance zone between 131.97 and 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56. On the downside, below 128.78 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. .

EUR/JPY 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, EUR/JPY once again rebounded ahead of 124.08 key resistance turned support. It’s also held above long term trend line from 109.03 (2016 low). The development argues that such rise from 109.03 might now be over yet. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 137.49 to 124.61 at 132.56 will pave the way to retest 137.49 high. But, firm break of 124.08 will argue that whole rise from 109.03 (2016 low) has completed at 137.49. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90 next.

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 142.89; (P) 143.28; (R1) 143.51;

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 143.65. Another rise is mildly in favor as long as 141.92 minor support holds. Above 143.65 will target 55 day EMA (now at 144.60) and above. On the downside, however, below 141.92 minor support will indicate completion of the rebound. And larger down trend will likely resume for 139.29/47 key support zone instead.

GBP/JPY 4 Hour Chart

In the bigger picture, at this point decline from 156.59 is still seen as a corrective move. But the downside acceleration makes this view shaky. Focus will be on 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47). Strong rebound from there will re-affirm the bullish case that rise from 122.36 is still to extend through 156.59 high. However, sustained break of 139.29/47 should confirm medium term reversal. GBP/JPY would then target a retest on 122.26 (2016 low).

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

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