EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5715; (P) 1.5755; (R1) 1.5816;
EUR/AUD’s strong rebound and break of 1.5791 minor resistance suggests that pull back fro 1.5976 has completed at 1.5621, after drawing support from 1.5626 support. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for retest 1.5976 first. Break will resume larger up rise from 1.3624. On the downside, decisive break of 1.5626 near term support will firstly resume the fall from 1.5976. Secondly, that will also raise the odds of larger reversal. Deeper fall should then be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.5153 to 1.5976 at 1.5467 and below.
In the bigger picture, change of medium term reversal is increasing with EUR/AUD just missing double projection target. They are 61.8% projection of 1.4421 to 1.5770 from 1.5153 at 1.5987, and 100% projection of 1.3624 to 1.5226 from 1.4421at 1.6023. Also, bearish divergence condition remains in daily MACD. Break of 1.5626 support will add to this bearish case and target 1.5153 key support for confirmation. Nonetheless, before that happens, as long as 1.5153 support holds, medium term rise from 1.3624 could still extend to retest 1.6587 high.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8810; (P) 0.8842; (R1) 0.8860;
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside as fall from 0.89678 extends. Break of 0.8771 support will confirm completion of rebound from 0.8686 and target a retest of this low. On the upside, above 0.8896 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. Further break of 0.8967 will resume the rebound from 0.8686 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9305 to 0.8686 at 0.9069.
In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
