Get 40% Off
👀 👁 🧿 All eyes on Biogen, up +4,56% after posting earnings. Our AI picked it in March 2024.
Which stocks will surge next?
Unlock AI-picked Stocks

British Pound At A Crossroads, Traders Eye UK Inflation Data

Published 10/16/2017, 06:21 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

We welcome you to a new trading week, where trading conditions are hopefully better and more favorable for day traders. As for the U.S. dollar, there was little consistency in its performance in recent days while traders had to struggle with false breakouts and unsteady financial markets.

The euro traded slightly higher against the dollar as investors brace for a ECB taper that will be announced at the European Central Bank meeting next Thursday, Oct. 26. While the shift in monetary policy at the ECB remains a positive driver for the euro, the recent friction in Catalonia, Spain and the political developments in Germany mean headwind for the single currency and its latest uptrend. This week, most attention will be paid to the final September Consumer Price Index, scheduled for release on Tuesday. CPI data will shape expectations for the euro ahead of the ECB meeting next week.

EUR/USD
The head-shoulders pattern may come back into focus since the 1.19-resistance remains unbroken. It would need a sustained break above 1.1910 in order to encourage euro bulls for a run for 1.20 and 1.2090. As long as the euro fluctuates below 1.19, most attention will be paid to the neckline of the pattern, which is at the monthly low at 1.1669.
EUR/USD Daily Chart

The British pound traded unsteadily sideways amidst uncertainty about the future developments in the UK. While the Bank of England will likely prepare the ground for tightening of the BoE’s monetary policy on November 2, Brexit themes cloud the economic outlook. The problem for the BoE is that the lack of progress in the Brexit talks is making the decision to hike rates very risky. Although the EU might provide a transitional deal for the UK, Brexit is the very last item on the agenda of the European Council, which meets on Thursday and Friday. The focus will now shift to U.K. inflation numbers, due for release tomorrow and if U.K. CPI data comes in with an increase of 3 percent, the central bank will need to raise interest rates to combat rising inflation. Later that day, BoE governor Carney will testify to lawmakers.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

GBP/USD
The pound soared above the 1.33-barrier but was unable to hold above that crucial level. As long as the pound fluctuates below that important price level, the short-lived upside breakout will be considered as fake-out. A current support is seen at 1.3190, whereas gains could be limited until 1.3390 in short-term time frames.
GBP/USD 4-Hour Chart

Here are our daily signal alerts:

EUR/USD
Long at 1.1835 SL 25 TP 30-40
Short at 1.1780 SL 25 TP 20, 40
GBP/USD
Long at 1.3310 SL 25 TP 20, 60
Short at 1.3270 SL 25 TP 20, 40

We wish you good trades and many pips!
Disclaimer: Any and all liability of the author is excluded.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.