Aussie came lower taking out the nearby support level of 9570. Now we were expecting this move lower so it should not have come as a shock. Ever since the AUD couldn't break the 200 day M/A we have seen this sell off and especially as correction could not then break us above the med term 50% Fib level. So now we have traded lower and we are only being held by the 21 day M/A at 9500. However, I expect this support to yield and for the Aussie to continue to weaken to the med term 38.2 fib level of 9437.
Now this is an important Fib level and should offer at least some short term respite. Shorts, therefore to be covered to here. I would expect the market to at least stage a corrective bounce from here and I would be looking at possibly the 9620 area again. We would have to wait and see if 9580 broke first.
Now if we cannot hold 9437 we are going to come lower and 9390 then 9360 is going to be our short term objective.