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AUD/USD, NZD/USD, AUD/JPY Forecast

Published 08/16/2021, 06:28 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
AUD/USD
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NZD/USD
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AUD/JPY
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AUD/USD has no clear trend or pattern to follow as we trade sideways for 3 weeks—up one day, down the next. in the sideways trend. On Friday we won back Thursday’s losses to confirm this pattern, holding a 3 week trend line support at 7325/15 to test minor resistance at 7360/70.

NZD/USD bottomed exactly at strong support at 6990/80. Longs worked on the bounce to minor resistance at 7040/50 for a 50 pip scalp. We topped exactly here.

AUD/JPY is back below 8100/20, so clearly this level is no longer reliable.

Today’s Analysis

AUD/USD has 4 week trend line resistance at 7390/7400. Shorts need stops above 7410. A break higher targets 7435/40. We should struggle to beat this level here initially, but shorts may be too risky. If we continue higher look for 7480. There's a three week trend line support at 7325/15. Longs need stops below 7305. A break lower retests the July low at 7290/85. A break below 7280 is a sell signal targeting strong support at 7235/25. Longs need stops below 7205.

NZD/USD is up one day, down the next day in a sideways trend. The chart is a mess and it's difficult to identify reliable levels. However, the bounce from 6990/80 topped exactly at the first target of 7040/50 for a nice 50 pip scalp. Expect strong resistance at 7090/7110. Shorts need stops above 7120. A break higher is a buy signal initially targeting 7150. First support at 6990/80. Longs need stops below 6965. A break lower targets 6940/35, perhaps as far as 6900/6890.

AUD/JPY sees minor resistance at 8100/8110, then the 3 week trend line resistance at 8135/45 in the sideways trend. A break above 8160 targets 8205/15. Minor support at 8050/40 and again at the July low at 7995/85. Expect strong support at 7950/30. A bounce from here is likely at this stage.

AUD Chart

Disclaimer: No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy or completeness of this information and opinions expressed may be subject to change without notice. Estimates and projections set forth herein are based on assumptions that may not be correct or otherwise realized. All reports and information are designed for information purposes only and neither the information contained herein nor any opinion expressed is deemed to constitute an offer or invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell any security or any option, futures or other related derivatives.

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