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AUD/USD: Constructive Gains

Published 02/14/2014, 12:11 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
AUD/USD
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BIAS: We should now see gains through 0.9010 and 0.9021-29 to reach the 0.9080-01 area before lower.

Resistance: 0.9010 0.9021-29 0.9046 0.9066
Support: 0.8983 0.8968 0.8948 0.8927

MAIN ANALYSIS: The 0.8921-37 support held perfectly and we are seeing constructive gains. These should extend to 0.9010 initially but while the 0.8995-05 area supports the next rally should move to the 0.9021-29 area. Even this is unlikely to see much of a correction - maybe 10-20 points - before the rally extends back to the 0.9066 high and with the final target being in the 0.9080-01 area. From 0.9066 and above watch for bearish reversal indications.

COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only below 0.8965 would suggest losses back to 0.8927, and then below 0.8906 would confirm the entire recovery from 0.8659 is complete and suggest stronger losses - initially to the 0.8820-25 support.

MEDIUM TERM ANALYSIS:

13th February: Well, this morning's collapse has taken away the need for me to say the top was seen at 0.8966 and that we should see a correction lower. However, I still feel we should see another leg higher to the 0.9085-01 area (approx) before a move back lower. Only directly below 0.8906 would break the structure and imply direct losses.

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