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Dollar Outlook Bearish With Limited Correction

Published 02/12/2019, 11:04 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The dollar gains were pretty persistent. USD/JPY saw a Wave v at the 76.4% projection while EUR/USD only managed a 50% projection in the Wave v. That took USD/CHF higher to almost reach the high – but just 7 points below. As for the final Major, GBP/USD saw a 14.6% expansion at the low and therefore we should be heading lower in the dollar now.

The basic outlook is that the dollar is bearish, but I feel this will be a relatively limited correction due to GBP/USD. The only possible problem is that sometimes the follow-through is slightly stronger. What we shall need to look for is the Wave iii and where it falls. We also have a 30% Wave ii and that tends to suggest a Wave iv of over 50% - but perhaps it can see a 76.4% projection in Wave v. So, keep track of this pair because it should provide us with a reversal.

Most likely we’ll see EUR/JPY extending gains – but now with the balance between a bearish USD/JPY and bullish EUR/USD, it may provide a consolidation for a while.

The Aussie should see further gains but difficult to judge how high the Wave -b- will be. It also has its own way of doing things so we have to take care. However, we should see gains today.

Latest comments

by not including the sentiments, events, and economic situation in your analysis at the end yo produce something that is a total non sense, today moves prove another total fail to your analysis, one of your greatest ever ...
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