At this time in the market there is no shortage of stocks selling at low multiples of their fundamentals. There is blood in the streets, especially among the small and mid caps, and of course the value assets have suffered in the last couple of years. This makes low P/E stocks even more enticing from a valuation perspective. Investors who scare easily have had many months to make their exits and no one wants to take risks anymore – perfect time for value investors to start buying the right stocks.
The following screen is quite simple. I have searched for stocks that not only have a low P/E ratio, but they also have high expected earnings growth in the next 3-5 years. Earnings estimates are normally not worth paying attention to, except as an indication from the management about the direction of the growth (most analysts take management guidance as their basis for future projections).
Industry: Airlines
Airlines are a very commodity business with cut throat competition. Current low oil prices have helped airlines on the cost side of the ledger, and as a result many of these stocks now show improved earnings. However, investors are not willing to pay up for these improved earnings as they are not result of any fundamental change in the business model, just a temporary boost that will go away when the oil prices return to higher levels. Virgin America, in the list below, is also particularly cash rich.
Industry: Construction and Building Materials
Most construction companies can be purchased today at prices below the book value per share of the company. The following companies also trade at low p/e and this makes them potentially very attractive investments. N:USG stock has been a perennial Warren Buffett favorite.
Industry: Oil and Gas
Oil markets have taken a beating in the last year, and consequently most oil and oil-related services stocks are treading close to their 52-week lows. In case of Alon USA Energy Inc (N:ALJ), this is a little unfortunate as the company has been able to protect its refining margins and grow its EPS (even as revenue has declined due to low market prices). I would expect the Forward EPS Growth expectations quite inaccurate in this case, given that the market is not rational today. When the oil prices rise, these stocks should do really well.
Industry: Banking and Insurance
Most banks and financial stocks have suffered recently. European banks in particular. The level of the sell off in these names has been extraordinary and does not bear much likeness to the value contained in these shares.
Industry: Shipping
Tankers still do great business though containerships and dry bulkers have been idling for some time as the supply of ships continues to grow and the demand has fallen.
Industry: Other
Finally, let’s consider these one-off ideas from many different industries. I like finding these ideas as they help diversify the portfolio and may also help in asset allocation.
It should be noted that the list this time is actually much more diverse than we have found in the last 2 years. Perhaps this is a sign that some of the froth in the market is coming off slowly. It is worthwhile to spend some time reviewing the entire list and find your next big idea.