Television broadcasting and media company Sinclair (NASDAQ:SBGI) fell short of analysts' expectations in Q1 CY2024, with revenue up 3.2% year on year to $798 million. On the other hand, next quarter's revenue guidance of $833 million came in slightly above analysts' estimates. It made a GAAP profit of $0.35 per share, down from its profit of $2.65 per share in the same quarter last year.
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Sinclair (SBGI) Q1 CY2024 Highlights:
- Revenue: $798 million vs analyst estimates of $802.4 million (small miss)
- EPS: $0.35 vs analyst estimates of -$0.25 ($0.60 beat)
- Revenue Guidance for Q2 CY2024 is $833 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $825 million (adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 also ahead)
- Market Capitalization: $879.9 million
BroadcastingBroadcasting companies have been facing secular headwinds in the form of consumers abandoning traditional television and radio in favor of streaming services. As a result, many broadcasting companies have evolved by forming distribution agreements with major streaming platforms so they can get in on part of the action, but will these subscription revenues be as high quality and high margin as their legacy revenues? Only time will tell which of these broadcasters will survive the sea changes of technological advancement and fragmenting consumer attention.
Sales GrowthA company’s long-term performance can give signals about its business quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one may grow for years. Sinclair's revenue was flat over the last five years. Within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends. That's why we also follow short-term performance. Sinclair's recent history shows a reversal from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 26.9% over the last two years.
This quarter, Sinclair's revenue grew 3.2% year on year to $798 million, falling short of Wall Street's estimates. The company is guiding for revenue to rise 8.5% year on year to $833 million next quarter, improving from the 8.2% year-on-year decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 13.5% over the next 12 months, an acceleration from this quarter.
Operating MarginOperating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income–the bottom line–excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.
Sinclair was profitable over the last two years but held back by its large expense base. Its average operating margin of 3.4% has been paltry for a consumer discretionary business. This quarter, Sinclair generated an operating profit margin of 5.3%, up 2.5 percentage points year on year.
Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Sinclair to become profitable. Analysts are expecting the company’s LTM operating margin of negative 9.8% to rise to positive 15.2%.Key Takeaways from Sinclair's Q1 Results We were impressed by how significantly Sinclair blew past analysts' EPS expectations this quarter. We were also glad next quarter's revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance came in higher than Wall Street's estimates. Zooming out, we think this was a solid quarter, showing that the company is staying on track. The stock is up 6.7% after reporting and currently trades at $14.15 per share.
