Quiver Quantitative - Macy's (NYSE:M) has received an enticing buyout proposal from Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management, which could mark a significant turn in the department store's history. The offer, set at $21 per share, represents a 21% premium over Macy's last closing price and values the company at $5.8 billion, substantially higher than its competitors like Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) and Kohl’s (KSS). This proposed acquisition reflects a growing trend in the retail sector, where companies are evaluated not just on current performance but also on their long-term potential and real estate assets.
Despite the attractive offer, the deal's completion is uncertain, given the history of department store buyouts. Previous attempts in the industry, including those involving Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) and Nordstrom, have faltered due to challenges in securing financing. Today, with higher interest rates compared to previous years, raising the necessary funds could be even more daunting. Macy's, however, stands out with its healthier balance sheet and significantly reduced long-term debt compared to its peak in 2017, making it a more viable candidate for a successful buyout.
Macy’s current financial health, underscored by a solid return on invested capital and a lower net debt-to-EBITDA ratio than its peers, enhances its attractiveness to potential buyers. Moreover, the company's ownership of valuable real estate, including its iconic New York City flagship store, adds a crucial dimension to its overall valuation. In contrast, competitors like Nordstrom and Kohl's have not been able to match Macy's financial performance or asset base in recent years.
The potential buyout of Macy's comes at a time when the retail industry is facing significant challenges, including declining market share to off-price retailers, direct-to-consumer sales, and e-commerce platforms. Macy's revenue, despite having decreased over the past years, still holds value, especially considering the tough retail environment and the challenges in securing financing for such deals. A successful acquisition would therefore not only be a significant achievement for Macy's shareholders but also a notable event in the retail sector.
This article was originally published on Quiver Quantitative