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Hunt for ‘next Nvidia’ draws options traders to Arm’s soaring stock

Published 02/12/2024, 03:38 PM
Updated 02/12/2024, 03:43 PM
© Reuters. The Arm Ltd logo and a U.S. flag are seen in this illustration taken March 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The craze for artificial intelligence stocks sent options traders piling into bets on Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) on Monday, with many positioning for more gains in the shares after they almost doubled in price in less than a week.

Arm Holdings' shares are up 80% since Wednesday, after the company forecast better-than-expected quarterly results powered by demand for its technology to design chips for artificial intelligence features.

The jump in the stock price has ignited trading in the chip designer's options, with volume soaring to about 490,000 contracts a day over the last three sessions. That is more than 10 times the options' average daily trading volume in the month prior to the earnings report, according to Trade Alert data.

The exploding options volume pointed to investors hunting for the 'next NVIDIA,' said Chris Murphy, co-head of derivative strategy at Susquehanna Financial Group, noting that the surge in bullish options activity was likely helping boost the stock.

Chip heavyweight Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA), at the center of the artificial intelligence frenzy, has risen about 220% over the last year, making it the best performing S&P 500 stock for that period.

On Monday, 600,000 Arm contracts changed hands by 2:15 p.m. (1915 GMT), with the day's volume projected to hit a record 816,000 contracts, data showed.

With Arm shares up 20% at $137.72 on Monday, call options on the shares rising above $185 by Friday were the most actively traded Arm contracts. Call options convey the right to buy shares at a set price in the future, while puts offer the right to sell shares.

© Reuters. The Arm Ltd logo and a U.S. flag are seen in this illustration taken March 6, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

Arm's share price rise has made for massive gains for recent bullish options bets. For instance a trader who had bought about 5,000 of ARM January 2026 calls for about $12.2 million on Feb. 7, saw the value of those contracts jump to about $42 million, based on their last trading price, on Monday. Despite those gains, the trader appeared to be holding on to those call options, a bullish sign for the stock, Murphy said. ARM puts were also busy on Monday, possibly pointing to some investors looking to lock in some of the stocks' recent gains, he said.

Arm's technology is not directly used in the AI work, but companies like Nvidia are choosing it for central processing units that complement their AI-specific chips.

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