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Earnings call: Conifer Holdings reports on strategic shift and Q1 results

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 05/15/2024, 01:39 PM
© Reuters.
CNFR
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Conifer Holdings (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CNFR) has announced its first quarter financial results for 2024, highlighting a strategic shift towards a wholesale agency production-based revenue model for its commercial lines, which has started to show positive preliminary outcomes.

The company's transition away from an underwriting revenue model is aimed at leveraging agency networks and mitigating market risks. Despite a decrease in gross written premium, Conifer has reported a stable loss ratio and an improved expense ratio, along with a slight increase in net investment income.

Key Takeaways

  • Conifer Holdings pivots towards a wholesale agency model for commercial lines.
  • Gross written premium decreased by 33% to $24 million in Q1.
  • Combined ratio improved to 97%, down from the previous year.
  • Net investment income rose to $1.6 million, a 19% increase year-over-year.
  • Net income allocable to common shareholders was $74,000, or $0.01 per share.

Company Outlook

  • Conifer's shift to a commission revenue model is expected to continue showing positive results.
  • The company aims to maintain operational profitability and provide value to shareholders.

Bearish Highlights

  • There was a significant reduction in gross written premium due to the strategic shift.

Bullish Highlights

  • The expense ratio has met the near-term target of 35%.
  • The company's investment portfolio remains conservatively managed, with most in fixed income securities.

Misses

  • No specific misses were discussed in the earnings call transcript summary provided.

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q&A session was mentioned, but no details of the questions or answers were provided in the summary.

Conifer Holdings has taken a decisive step to adapt to the changing landscape of the insurance industry by moving towards a wholesale agency model. This strategic decision is reflected in the first quarter's financial results, which include a mix of commercial and personal lines production, with commercial lines making up approximately 53% of total production. The company's focus on non-risk bearing revenue and expansion into new markets, particularly in cannabis-related coverage, is a key part of its strategy for sustainable growth.

The financial results show a decrease in gross written premium, but also an improvement in the combined ratio and a steady loss ratio, indicating effective management of the new production model. Furthermore, the company's expense reduction efforts are paying off, with an expense ratio that aligns with their near-term goals. Net investment income has also increased, suggesting a solid performance of the investment portfolio.

Conifer Holdings' approach to maintaining a strong top line while streamlining expenses is designed to generate favorable returns for its shareholders. As the company continues to build on the success of the first quarter, it remains committed to delivering exceptional value to both its insurers and shareholders.

InvestingPro Insights

Conifer Holdings' recent shift towards a wholesale agency model may be in line with its strategic goals, but the financial metrics and market performance tell a more nuanced story. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Conifer's market capitalization stands at a modest $12.16 million, reflecting the small scale of the company within the insurance sector.

The company's P/E ratio (adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023) is negative at -0.44, indicating that investors are not currently seeing earnings from their shares and that the company has been facing profitability challenges.

The revenue data further underscores the difficulties Conifer has been encountering, with a decline of 8.07% in revenue over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023. This decline is consistent with the decrease in gross written premium reported in the Q1 2024 financial results. Additionally, the gross profit margin for the same period stands at a negative 7.14%, highlighting the company's struggle to maintain profitability in its operations.

InvestingPro Tips provide further context to these figures. Notably, the company has experienced a significant return over the last week, with a 14.78% price total return, which could be indicative of market reactions to the latest strategic moves or other short-term factors. Still, analysts anticipate a sales decline in the current year, which aligns with the reported decrease in gross written premium and may suggest that the road to a successful transition is still fraught with challenges.

For investors and industry observers looking for a deeper dive into Conifer Holdings' performance and prospects, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available, which could provide valuable insights. In total, there are 12 more tips listed on InvestingPro that could help in making a more informed investment decision. Readers interested in these insights can visit https://www.investing.com/pro/CNFR and use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

These insights and data points offer a snapshot of Conifer Holdings' current financial health and market performance, painting a picture of a company in the midst of a significant transition, with both opportunities and challenges ahead.

Full transcript - Conifer Holding Inc (CNFR) Q1 2024:

Operator: Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Confier Holdings' First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. After today's presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note today's event is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference call over to Brian Roney. Sir, please go ahead.

Brian Roney: Thank you and good morning, everyone. Conifer issued its 2024 first quarter financial results after the close of market yesterday. You can find copies of the earnings release on the company's website at ir.cnfrh.com. The slide presentation accompanying management's remarks this morning is available to view or download via webcast or from the investor relations section of Conifer's website. Before we get started, please note that except with regard to historical information, statements made in this conference call may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including statements relating to trends, the company's operations and financial results, and the business and the products of the company and its subsidiaries. Actual results may differ materially from the results anticipated in these forward-looking statements due to various risks and uncertainties underlying our forward-looking statements, as described from time to time in Conifer's filings with the SEC, including our latest form 10-K and subsequent reports. Conifer specifically disclaims any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether due to new information, future developments or otherwise. In addition, a replay of this call will be provided through a link on the Investor Relations section of our website. During this call, we'll also discuss non-gap financial measures as defined by SEC Regulation G. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures are included when possible in our earnings release and our historical SEC filings. Statutory accounting data is prepared in accordance with statutory accounting rules and is therefore not reconciled to GAAP. We will conduct a Q&A session after management's prepared remarks this morning. With that, I'll turn the call over to Nick Petcoff, our Chief Executive Officer. Nick?

Nick Petcoff: Thanks, Brian, and good morning, everyone. Also on the call with us today is Harold Meloche. I'm pleased to report that the first quarter financial results bear out the strategic decisions we discussed during our last call. We have made significant strides in executing our shift to a revenue model focused on a wholesale agency production-based approach. We see the first quarter results as indicative that we are moving in the right direction. At the outset, let me provide a brief overview of our tactical commercial lines direction. Recognizing the evolving landscape of the insurance industry and with an eye to the long-term success and sustainability of the company, we made the decision to pivot towards a wholesale agency model and largely away from an underwriting revenue model for our commercial lines business. This move allows us to leverage the expertise and networks of our agency partners, enhancing our distribution channels and expanding our reach in key markets. Further, this decision to focus on non-risk bearing revenue enables us to offer insured A minus rated capacity and simultaneously mitigate market risks, ultimately ensuring stability in our bottom line. We made considerable progress during the first quarter of 2024 in directing premium to capacity providers for coverage across multiple lines of business. We've also started to ramp up transfer of cannabis premium to our capacity partners, expanding our reach to new markets and strengthening our position as a leading provider of cannabis-related coverage. At our core, we remain committed to preserving a strong and consistent top line, continuing to streamline our expense structure and maintaining operational profitability over the long-term to generate favorable returns for cannabis shareholders. In that light, the preliminary results are encouraging as they have borne out the key decision to shift our focus to a commission revenue model based upon wholesale agency production at the beginning of 2024. With planned reductions and premium leverage starting in 2023, our percentage of commercial lines production was expected to be down in the first quarter. Overall, commercial lines represented roughly 53% of total production for the quarter. Our personal lines production made up a larger percentage of premiums in Q1. While we have moved our commercial lines business largely to a commission-based model utilizing our in-house MGA Conifer insurance services, our personal lines production is still retained by our operating subsidiaries. As a result, we have continued to underwrite low-valued homeowners business, primarily in Texas and the Midwest. Given the strong performance in that line year-to-date leading to a combined ratio of 83% for the first quarter, we are pleased to retain that business on Conifer paper moving forward. As we effectively manage the shift in production models, we are proud of the hard work and dedication of our entire team and remain committed to delivering exceptional value to our insurers and shareholders. We will continue to build on this quarter's success in the months and years to come. With that, I'll pass the call over to Harold to discuss the numbers. Harold?

Harold Meloche: Thank you, Nick. I'll provide a quick recap of financial results, and I encourage investors to review our financial filings and presentation on the company's website for greater detail. In the first quarter, gross written premium decreased 33% to $24 million, reflecting our decision to reduce premium leverage on operating subsidiaries and focus on production-based revenue through our managing general agency. The breakout of first quarter total gross written premiums was 52% commercial lines and 48% personal lines. Conifer's combined ratio is 97% in the first quarter, down 280 basis points from the same period last year. Our loss ratio is 62%, steady from the first quarter of 2023. As we see the non-risk-based revenue model continue to progress, we anticipate continued positive movement in our results going forward. The accident year loss ratio in personal lines was 53% for the first quarter, down 20 percentage points compared to the first quarter of last year, reflecting the strong underwriting actions we've taken in low-value dwelling business. Our expense ratio continues to improve despite lower net-earn premiums due to the success of our ongoing expense reduction efforts. The expense ratio was 35% for the first quarter, down 260 basis points from the same period last year, and meets our near-term target of 35%. Net investment income was $1.6 million during the first quarter, up 19% from $1.3 million in the prior year period. Our investment portfolio remains conservatively managed with the vast majority in fixed income securities, with an average credit quality of AA plus, an average duration of 2.7 years, and a tax equivalent yield of 3.4%. The company reported net income allocable to common shareholders of $74,000 or $0.01 per share, and an adjusted operating income of $188,000 or $0.02 per share for the first quarter of 2024. Moving to the balance sheet, total assets were $301 million at quarter end, with cash and total investments of $164 million. Our book value at quarter end was $0.21 per share. We have $2.29 per share, and net deferred tax assets that, due to a full valuation allowance, were not reflected in book value. And with that, I'd like to turn it back over to Nick for closing remarks.

Nick Petcoff: Thanks, Harold. In closing, I want to reiterate that our first quarter results underscore our commitment to sound strategic decision-making across the organization. We remain focused on delivering exceptional value to our customers and shareholders, and we are excited about the future of our company. With that, I'd like to invite any questions. Operator?

Operator:

Nick Petcoff: Thank you. We appreciate your time and interest in the company and invite you to reach out to us at any time. Thank you.

Harold Meloche: Thank you.

Operator: And with that, ladies and gentlemen, we'll be concluding today's conference call and presentation. We do thank you for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.

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