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BJ's (NASDAQ:BJRI) Misses Q4 Revenue Estimates

Published 02/15/2024, 04:09 PM
Updated 02/15/2024, 04:33 PM
BJ's (NASDAQ:BJRI) Misses Q4 Revenue Estimates
BJRI
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American restaurant chain BJ’s Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) missed analysts' expectations in Q4 FY2023, with revenue down 6% year on year to $323.6 million. It made a GAAP profit of $0.34 per share, improving from its profit of $0.07 per share in the same quarter last year.

Is now the time to buy BJ's? Find out by reading the original article on StockStory.

BJ's (BJRI) Q4 FY2023 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $323.6 million vs analyst estimates of $329.4 million (1.7% miss)
  • EPS: $0.34 vs analyst estimates of $0.27 (24.6% beat)
  • Gross Margin (GAAP): 14.4%, up from 12.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Same-Store Sales were up 0.6% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $806.8 million

Founded in 1978 in California, BJ’s Restaurants (NASDAQ:BJRI) is a chain of restaurants whose menu features classic American dishes, often with a twist.

Sit-Down DiningSit-down restaurants offer a complete dining experience with table service. These establishments span various cuisines and are renowned for their warm hospitality and welcoming ambiance, making them perfect for family gatherings, special occasions, or simply unwinding. Their extensive menus range from appetizers to indulgent desserts and wines and cocktails. This space is extremely fragmented and competition includes everything from publicly-traded companies owning multiple chains to single-location mom-and-pop restaurants.

Sales GrowthBJ's is larger than most restaurant chains and benefits from economies of scale, giving it an edge over its smaller competitors.

As you can see below, the company's annualized revenue growth rate of 3.5% over the last four years (we compare to 2019 to normalize for COVID-19 impacts) was weak , but to its credit, it opened new restaurants and grew sales at existing, established dining locations.

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This quarter, BJ's missed Wall Street's estimates and reported a rather uninspiring 6% year-on-year revenue decline, generating $323.6 million in revenue. Looking ahead, Wall Street expects sales to grow 4.9% over the next 12 months, an acceleration from this quarter.

Same-Store Sales BJ's demand has outpaced the broader restaurant sector over the last eight quarters. On average, the company has grown its same-store sales by a robust 9.5% year on year. With positive same-store sales growth amid an increasing number of restaurants, BJ's is reaching more diners and growing sales.

In the latest quarter, BJ's year on year same-store sales were flat. By the company's standards, this growth was a meaningful deceleration from the 6.6% year-on-year increase it posted 12 months ago. We'll be watching BJ's closely to see if it can reaccelerate growth.

Key Takeaways from BJ's Q4 Results It was good to see BJ's beat analysts' EPS expectations this quarter. We were also happy its gross margin narrowly outperformed Wall Street's estimates. On the other hand, its revenue unfortunately missed thanks to lower-than-expected same-store sales growth (0.6% vs estimates of 2.0%). Looking ahead, the company's capex guidance for 2024 came in favorably ($70 million vs estimates of $94 million) as it seeks to execute on the narrative told during its November 2023 Investor Day. Zooming out, we think this was still a decent, albeit mixed, quarter, showing that the company is staying on track. The stock is flat after reporting and currently trades at $35.47 per share.

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