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Trump, Biden's paths to victory in U.S. presidential election

Published 11/04/2020, 06:30 AM
© Reuters. 2020 U.S. presidential election in Washington D.C.

By Brad Heath

(Reuters) - President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden on Wednesday each faced narrow paths to potential victory in a close-fought U.S. presidential election that will be determined by a razor-thin margin.

Six states remain to be called -- Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin -- with Biden needing to carry at least three to win, while Trump would need at least four.

The outcome is almost certain to come down to millions of absentee ballots that were the first cast in this election and often are the last to be counted.

At 6 a.m. ET (1100 GMT), Biden held narrow leads in Nevada and Wisconsin. Trump held slim leads in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Michigan, though tens of thousands of ballots remain to be counted in those states, many of them votes cast by mail in the areas around major cities, which traditionally favor Democrats.

Here are Trump's and Biden's paths to victory:

TRUMP

Trump’s most likely road to victory goes through Pennsylvania, a state he carried in 2016. If he wins there, he will have to win three of the other battleground states to secure 270 electoral votes. If he doesn’t win Pennsylvania, he’ll have to sweep the remaining five.

Trump led the voting in Pennsylvania about 55% to 43% with about 75% of the votes likely counted.

The state’s biggest cities, Philadelphia and Pittsburgh, have reported only a small share of their election results so far, and those results traditionally favor Democrats. Beyond that, many of the ballots that remain to be counted were filed by mail, and the state has said many more Democrats than Republicans cast mail-in ballots this year.

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Pennsylvania offers one other wrinkle: Its state courts have ordered officials to count absentee ballots that were cast by Tuesday so long as they arrive in the mail by Friday. (Trump has criticized the U.S. Supreme Court for permitting the change and the case could return to the court after the election.)

BIDEN

Biden’s most likely road to victory goes through Nevada and Wisconsin, states where he held narrow leads early Wednesday morning as officials worked to tally the final votes. If Biden wins those states, victories in Georgia, Michigan or Pennsylvania would give him enough to win.

Trump held a lead of about 51%-47% in Michigan, but many of the votes remaining to be counted there were mail-in ballots from Detroit and its suburbs, where Democrats have historically enjoyed an electoral advantage.

Officials in Nevada, where Biden had a razor-thin 49.3%-48.7% lead with 86% of expected votes counted, said they would not resume counting ballots until Thursday morning.

Latest comments

Trump should have operation in place to take out and capture any vote cheaters!
Trump should have operation in place to take out any vote cheaters
Trump too mellow! He should have the operation in place to take out the vote cheaters from Democrats camp.
The worst is set to come. Biden president but both house and senate by other camp.
Biden for prison “Never”USA to the tradh heapThanks Dems
Joe BIDEN : 49.3% versus 49.1% in Michigan, there are still 10% ballots to open, this is incredibly tight
biden will win
Never
looks like biden pulled it off. mail in ballots tipping the scales in multiple cities now
Biden wins will start the downfall of USA. Here comes socialism!
Exactly
None of socialism's business. As a man live in socialism country, I don't think Biden's policies are socialism.
Dems still hard at work trying to steal the election...
The only person trying to steal the election is Trump. If you're an American and voted it should count unless you're a dictator
it is the gop trying to steal it.
We are yes
I am afraid there is nothing to celebrate on both sides. A too close to call election considering the players especially the current president and the division in this country is a recipe for turmoil. Add the challenges we are currently facing with covid19. This is not good even for the markets. I would be cautious. That would have been good is a good clean winner on whichever side so we could move forward asap solving the problems like the stimulus workers need
I agree but baffled why the markets are soaring at ATH levels 🤔
Large wcal mail in ballot fraud
if Biden wins, trump is not the loser,but Americans are
with biden and Kamala around,I'll become a puppet of Chinese and terrorists chain.Mark my words.
read as US 'll becomef... with Google translator
who win michigan will win
It might just come down to Pennsylvania deciding at all, and they are going to be counting votes at least until the weekend. Trump has a big lead there now, but it appears most of the outstanding mail-in ballots are from Democrats. So, are there enough of them to swing the race the other way? After they are done counting ballots next week in Pennsylvania, there may be a court battle over their last-minute change of policy in absentee ballot processing. Hang on folks, this might take a while…
Trump will win
Not sure yet ...
I am sure he will win something, but not these elections
Trump will win easily.
It is clear that Biden gonna win, all postal votes are democrats so no chance for donald
Biden will win 😏
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