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Dollar Up but Near Three-Week Low as Investors Await U.S. CPI Figure

Published 04/13/2021, 01:07 AM
Updated 04/13/2021, 01:09 AM
© Reuters.

By Gina Lee

Investing.com – The dollar was up on Tuesday morning in Asia, but near a three-week low as investors await the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) for March, due later in the day.

The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies edged up 0.16% to 92.293 by 13:03 AM ET (5:03 AM GMT).

The USD/JPY pair was up 0.32% to 109.72.

The AUD/USD pair was down 0.31% to 0.7599 and the NZD/USD pair was down 0.30% to 0.7007.

The USD/CNY pair edged up 0.11% to 6.5515. Chinese trade data released earlier in the day said that exports grew 49% year-on-year in March. Imports grew 38.1% year-on-year and the trade balance stood at USD116.35 billion.

The GBP/USD pair inched down 0.09% to 1.3728.

"The dollar index has been slipping in recent days but should find stability with the U.S. macro outperformance narrative set to get a strong airing" in data this week, Westpac strategists said in a note, which also forecasts a rally toward 94.500.

"Treasury issuance is surging at the same time as inflationary pressures show in the data, which should lift the U.S. dollar," and 10-year Treasury yields are expected to rise toward the top of its recent 1.6-1.755% range in the coming week, the note added.

U.S. Treasuries slowly climbed up on Tuesday, with the benchmark 10-year note yield at 1.6764%. Auctions of three- and 10-year notes on Monday saw decent demand, while 30-year notes will go under the hammer later in the day.

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“How Treasury yields react to this week’s supply and to key U.S. data releases will undoubtedly provide direction for the USD in the near-term... a strong (CPI) print may re-invigorate inflation fears and lend support to the dollar, " Rabobank currency strategist Jane Foley said in her own note.

Foley also forecasts the greenback to trade "choppily" in a $1.17 to $1.20 range versus the euro. It is currently at $1.1904, near its weakest level since Mar. 23.

Boston Federal Reserve Bank President Eric Rosengren also said on Monday that the U.S. economy could see a significant rebound in 2021 thanks to accommodative monetary and fiscal policy, though the labor market still has much room for improvement.

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