Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

Dollar cedes some gains but oil collapse likely to support safe-havens

Published 04/20/2020, 08:30 PM
Updated 04/20/2020, 08:35 PM
© Reuters. Saudi riyal, yuan, Turkish lira, pound, U.S. dollar, euro and Jordanian dinar banknotes are seen in this illustration

By Stanley White

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar gave up some gains against the currencies of oil producers after U.S. crude futures pared some of their massive losses in Asia, but the historic collapse in energy demand is likely to keep safe-haven assets well supported.

U.S. crude oil futures plunged into negative pricing for the first time ever on Monday, dragged by a supply glut and sagging demand due to the coronavirus pandemic, though they managed to scrape back into positive territory early Tuesday.

"Oil is off its lows, but a lot of companies are going to get hit and companies could start to fail," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy and chief economist at AMP Capital Investors in Sydney.

"If share prices have a pullback, the dollar could see some gains as a safe haven. The only thing that's capping the dollar is the Federal Reserve has done more quantitative easing than anyone else."

Factory closures and travel restrictions enforced to slow the pace of new infections have triggered a collapse in oil prices, which is drawing money from commodity currencies and other risk asset to the safety of dollar-denominated assets.

The U.S. dollar edged down slightly against the Canadian dollar

The greenback fell 0.17% to 23.990 Mexican pesos

Against the Norwegian crown

The euro held steady as caution set in before data on German economic sentiment later Tuesday and a meeting of European Union officials on Thursday to discuss the bloc's response to the economic chaos caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The New Zealand dollar was poised to extend gains as investors continue to cheer the country's decision to ease next week ease some of the world's strictest lockdown measures taken to stop the spread of the novel virus.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude for May delivery (CLc1) turned positive and traded at more than $2 per barrel early in Asia, off a low of -$40 hit in New York trading. The May contract expires on Tuesday. [O/R]

The June contract , which is more actively traded, was up 4.8% at $21.41 a barrel.

Investors have been unwinding long positions in front-month oil futures because U.S. crude storage facilities are nearly at capacity.

Energy prices are also falling because output cuts agreed last week by major oil producers have not offset a collapse in demand caused by the coronavirus pandemic.

The dollar edged up slightly to 107.70 yen

The euro (EUR=EBS) was quoted at $1.0863. Against the pound, the common currency was little changed at 87.31 pence (EURGBP=D3).

Data due later on Tuesday is expected to show German investor sentiment remained weak in April because of the coronavirus pandemic.

Members of the EU are struggling to reach consensus on how to financially support countries hardest hit but the virus, such as Italy and Spain.

If the EU fails to reach an agreement this week, there could be more downside risks for the euro, some analysts say.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

As coronavirus infections show tentative signs of peaking in some places, countries are struggling to decide how to re-open their economies for business.

The New Zealand dollar

New Zealand will next week ease some of the world's strictest lockdown measures taken to tackle the novel coronavirus pandemic, which will allow hundreds of thousands of people to return to work.

Latest comments

Economies have to start opening before the entire world's economies collapse.
failing oil derivatives in dollars that ought to help
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.