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Xi Zeroes In on Trump Trade Deal as China Acts to Steady Markets

Published 11/05/2019, 02:59 AM
Updated 11/05/2019, 05:25 AM
© Reuters.  Xi Zeroes In on Trump Trade Deal as China Acts to Steady Markets

(Bloomberg) -- President Xi Jinping stressed China’s commitment to the global trading order as his trade negotiators wrangle with the U.S. over rolling back punitive tariffs ahead of a phase one deal.

As Xi spoke in Shanghai, the nation’s central bank acted in Beijing to stem a sell-off in the debt market. The People’s Bank of China reduced the cost of 1-year funds to banks for the first time since 2016 after a week in which investors had dumped debt amid fears of tightening liquidity.

At the opening of the second annual China International Import Expo, Xi said the country would “open its doors only wider” to the world. He refrained from taking a swipe at his U.S. counterpart Donald Trump, as he’d done the previous year, and didn’t reference the prospective deal to defuse the tariff war.

“We must all put the common good of humanity first rather than place one’s own interests above the common interests of all,” Xi said.

Chinese and U.S. officials are currently wrangling over the extent to which the Trump administration will roll back previous tariff increases as the price for Xi agreeing to travel to the U.S. to ink a so-called phase one deal, according to people briefed on the discussions.

Chinese Restraint

Amid the trade standoff, China has sought to stabilize the economy without flooding it with liquidity for fear of worsening its debt problems. It has retaliated against Trump’s tariff barrage but been careful not to escalate a conflict that’s sapped confidence and weighed on manufacturers.

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“It is obvious that deep conflicts of interest still exist between China and the U.S.,” Li Yang, a member of the government think tank the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said in an interview in Shanghai after Xi’s address. “But China and the U.S. have now embarked on a path seeking practical solutions. I feel the likelihood for a major clash or start of a new cold war has disappeared.”

The central bank has been similarly restrained this year, defying many economists’ expectations of major stimulus. Tuesday’s 5 basis-point reduction in the 1-year medium term lending facility was greeted as largely symbolic in economic terms, though it did stop the rot in bonds for now.

The offshore yuan on Tuesday strengthened past 7 per dollar for first time since falling below that key level in August. China’s benchmark 10-year yield dropped the most since August, while the cost on 12-month interest-rate swaps fell the most in a month.

Economic growth has slowed to the weakest pace in almost three decades, with economists forecasting that the expansion will slip further to below 6% next year. Rather than embark on a short-term stimulus boost though, Xi’s government has instead focused on defusing the nation’s ticking debt bomb and promoting structural changes such as the shift to a more consumption-led economy.

“China will give greater importance to imports,” Xi said Tuesday. “We will continue to lower tariffs and institutional transaction costs,” he added, repeating earlier pledges. China’s imports have contracted this year.

“Xi’s speech endorsed the trade optimism as he indicated that he sees negotiations as the right way to solve disputes,” said Gai Xinzhe, a senior analyst at Sino-Ocean Capital in Beijing. But Xi also warned against “intellectual blockages” and “widening technology gap,“ highlighting China’s worry over the technology decoupling some U.S. politicians are advocating, he said.

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Tariff Demands

Chinese negotiators continue to chip away at the wall of U.S. tariffs imposed on their exports since last year, wary of conceding too much for fear of a political backlash at home.

Negotiators asked the Trump administration to eliminate tariffs on about $110 billion in goods that were imposed in September and lower the 25% tariff rate on about $250 billion that began in 2018, some of the people familiar with the talks said.

China has also previously demanded that Trump cancel plans to impose duties on roughly $160 billion in imports, scheduled for Dec. 15, which would hit consumer favorites like smart-phones and laptops. At the very least, those tariffs have to be taken off the table for Xi to get on a plane to meet Trump, people familiar with China’s plans said.

The prospective deal for agreement this month would not address most of the major structural complaints that the U.S. has made, with thornier topics like state industrial subsidies or intellectual property theft left for later rounds, according to U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross.

Speaking in Bangkok Tuesday, Ross said he was “hopeful that phase one will be precursor for a much more robust set of agreements.”

“I’m reasonably optimistic we can get something done,” he said.

Latest comments

and there will be a phase 1.1.1 deal done by election day.
could anyone translate it for me? I thought that a job of a journalist is to explain what this babling is about to common people like me, not make it more complicated...
I have been translating for you... is all about who is the King of the Jungle. By now, you should know the China Roar. When China Roars, worldwide markets tumbles.
China has capitulated and more will come. The tariffs have worked to force them to make concessions. No more stealing of intellectual property and unfair trade.
I think the farmers were hurting too much without China so Trump hS to give up. If not, those farmers were about to vote him out. I think Trump knows when he sees the Lion's fang, he will have to back down. He made a mistake listening to Ross, Lightizer and Pompeo.
he gave them money. Farmers aren't really a concern
money ain't going to last long, they want business instead.
I told you guys ... Trump thought he can Cowboy his way through the Jungle, but when he heard the roar of the Lion, he finally backed off. He should know when he pokes at the Lion, the next day worldwide markets will hear the roar and tumbles. As long as he keeps the Lion happy, markets will stablized and go up.
by lion you mean winnie the pooh?
Another head fake from the reds
After this I suddenly feel no urge to read Trump's book on making deals. LOL - He surely was called on his bluff.
What an embarassment if Trump rolls back all punitive tariffs levied. He not only DID NOT get what he wanted in the first place, which was to get China change her practices, Trump would be getting only beans and pork. If he succumbs, he is not that strong after all.
The changes China is rolling out, do you think would have taken place if this trade war hadn't started? Read more than the headlines in a few biased articles. Any concessions Trump gives now are solely because of the US government(dems) fighting him from behind. Like him or not, changes had to be made and no one was willing to take the lead. I HOPE we can strengthen our ties with China. Make no mistake, China needs this deal also. The data has been irrefutable. Their economy is feeling the pressure and with the pork industry dealing with a massive epidemic they need to feed their 1.5 billion people. It is in everyone's interest to make this happen, something that is fair to both while providing protection.
These markets are attracting normal people to put savings in it and big investors are taking their money out of the markets. Markets will go down soon. Please be smart and take your money out.
Double all tariffs and block their number now! It's the prudent and responsible thing to do.
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