Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

Widening development gap risks triggering destabilization, UN official says

Published 04/18/2024, 05:30 PM
Updated 04/18/2024, 05:35 PM
© Reuters. Achim Steiner, Administrator of United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), speaks during an interview with Reuters in Sao Paulo, Brazil, February 27, 2024. REUTERS/Paulo Lopes/File Photo

By Andrea Shalal

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The world's poorest countries are facing debt distress and fiscal crises as foreign investment wanes and the gap with richer economies widens, risking political destabilization and unrest, the United Nations Development Program chief said on Thursday.

UNDP Administrator Achim Steiner told Reuters that most Group of 20 major economies are heading for a soft landing, but 50 low-income countries with 3.3 billion people are unable to service their debts or are at risk of getting to that point.

Many of those countries faced a net outflow of funds to private and government creditors, with debt service payments outpacing foreign investments and virtually no ability to borrow on capital markets, Steiner said.

"Not only is it leaving countries stuck - they're on a hard landing or very much stuck in the status quota - they're beginning to not invest in what is going to drive development tomorrow," Steiner said in an interview.

Wealthier countries were investing heavily at the same time, which heightened the risk of a more pronounced divergence than even 20 years ago, he said.

The World Bank this week warned of a historic reversal of development, noting that half of the world's 75 poorest countries have a widening income gap with the wealthiest economies for the first time this century.

Steiner said the worsening outlook for poorer countries and growing geo-economic divisions could usher in a period of heightened social unrest that could ultimately have consequences for developed countries.

"Essentially we enter into a period of political destabilization," he said, noting that countries could face problems importing food or fuel, banking sectors could be strained and citizens could lose confidence in government.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

For example in Sri Lanka, public anger boiled over after the country defaulted on some bond coupon payments, forcing then-President Gotabaya Rajapaksa to flee the country, Steiner noted.

He said people were also losing confidence in the global economic system generally, and while deepening problems in the poorest countries would not affect financial markets in advanced economies, they could lead to wars and other big risks.

Despite his worries, Steiner said institutions like the United Nations, International Monetary Fund and World Bank still serve an important purpose, although they need to become more equitable and sustainable and keep pace with a changing world.

"We need a place where we can interact," he said. "Especially in this day and age, we need this architecture - these platforms - more than ever," he said. "The challenges and risks we face are by definition only solvable globally."

One of the biggest hurdles is attracting more private investment to Africa and other developing regions, Steiner said, noting that a dearth of information means concerns about risk than are often greater than warranted.

UNDP last year called for the big three credit rating agencies to expand their presence in Africa and provide more relevant country-focused data for African countries.

Private investors had also failed to participate meaningfully in urgently needed debt restructuring, a main reason why recent sovereign debt cases had been dragged out.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.