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Love for Trump Led to Baby Boom in Republican Counties in 2016

EconomyJul 28, 2021 01:00PM ET
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© Reuters. Love for Trump Led to Baby Boom in Republican Counties in 2016

(Bloomberg) -- Mothers in Republican-leaning counties saw a baby boost over their Democratic counterparts after former President Donald Trump’s surprise 2016 victory, suggesting partisanship is following people to the bedroom.

In the year after Trump’s win, Republican-leaning counties saw an increase in fertility relative to Democratic-leaning ones, according to a paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research. This equaled a 1.1 percentage-point difference in annual births, or roughly 23,000 excess babies in GOP counties that the authors tie to optimism over the election’s results.

The effects also continued for the following two years for which data were available.

What’s more, the gap was bigger in heavily partisan counties. The fertility gap between extreme Republican and extreme Democratic counties was 2.6 percentage points, according to the authors, Gordon Dahl and William Mullins of the University of California San Diego and Runjing Lu of the University of Alberta.

Hispanic mothers also saw significantly fewer births than non-Hispanics, the authors wrote, noting some of the former president’s harsh rhetoric toward immigrants during his campaign.

For some context, there was no partisan effect on fertility after former President Barack Obama’s 2008 victory, although the onset of the Great Recession complicated the data. The authors found some evidence that relative fertility fell in Democratic counties after former President George W. Bush’s 2000 win.

The states with the highest birth rates shortly after the election were Utah, Alaska and the Dakotas.

©2021 Bloomberg L.P.

 

Love for Trump Led to Baby Boom in Republican Counties in 2016
 

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Comments (9)
Yup Tub
Yup Tub Jul 29, 2021 2:08AM ET
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A new baby boom will happen soon then.
Aaron Chaff
AayAayRon Jul 28, 2021 11:04PM ET
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If you garbage leftwing "journalists" can ever evict Trump from living rent-free in your heads there's quite a bit of salacious material you could report about Hunter Biden. You may have to look up who that is since you probably don't know.
Mox Mox
Mox Mox Jul 28, 2021 4:50PM ET
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what a load of trash!
Bret Lafrance
Bret Lafrance Jul 28, 2021 4:04PM ET
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I am not surprised that the authors at AP and Reuters and Bloomberg who pen this trash don’t have the courage to put their names to it.
Bret Lafrance
Bret Lafrance Jul 28, 2021 4:02PM ET
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So, the implied rational here is that Trump is like viagera for republicans?
Bret Lafrance
Bret Lafrance Jul 28, 2021 4:00PM ET
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This is complete nonsense.
Benjamin McIntire
Benjamin McIntire Jul 28, 2021 2:09PM ET
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Gross
Felipe Daniel
Felipe Daniel Jul 28, 2021 2:09PM ET
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Not as gross as pedos that run the Democratic party
ROBERTO CARLORITA
ROBERTO CARLORITA Jul 28, 2021 2:09PM ET
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Felipe Daniel  how dare you say that about your father? and he doesn't even run the democratic party
Benjamin McIntire
Benjamin McIntire Jul 28, 2021 2:09PM ET
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Felipe Daniel someone has been feeding at the conservative news trough once again. I guess when you have no arguement its easier to just do that.
Felipe Daniel
Felipe Daniel Jul 28, 2021 2:09PM ET
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Benjamin McIntire Ed Buck and Hillary are the stars of the Dems
ROBERTO CARLORITA
ROBERTO CARLORITA Jul 28, 2021 1:58PM ET
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but that is obvious. Republicans are hillbillies. they only think about children and farms
Aaron Chaff
AayAayRon Jul 28, 2021 1:58PM ET
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That actually sounds like a pretty good life. Far better than thinking about how to get the most likes on social media by pretending to care about black lives.
Randy Randy
randy00 Jul 28, 2021 1:33PM ET
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No wonder there's so many of them.
Dorothy Gustave
Dorothy Gustave Jul 28, 2021 1:33PM ET
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Not as many as you may think, lol. I'm not concerned at all...85% of the U.S. population lives in big cities, and all big cities lean Democrat, even when surrounded by small town full of republicans. Most of these red states have a relatively low population, and now with their refusal to protect themselves from the new variant, they will likely reduce their population, sadly. Ignorance has it's price...
Aaron Chaff
AayAayRon Jul 28, 2021 1:33PM ET
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With a name like Dorothy I expect you're approaching 100 years old or more so you're probaly at-risk. You should know that it is PRIMARILY your blue Democrat paradises that have the low vaccination rates. I realize this is contrary to what the activist media constantly leads you (very easily) to believe.
Options Trader
Options Trader Jul 28, 2021 1:33PM ET
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Dorothy Gustave Taken straight from CNN. Try to think for yourself.
 
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