Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

Erdogan picks low-rates champion as finance minister as Turkish lira skids

Published 12/02/2021, 05:44 AM
Updated 12/02/2021, 05:47 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a news conference after his meeting with German Chancellor Angela Merkel (not pictured) at Huber Mansion in Istanbul, Turkey October 16, 2021. REUTERS/Murad Sezer/File Photo

By Ezgi Erkoyun

ISTANBUL (Reuters) -Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan appointed a strong supporter of his low interest rate drive as minister of treasury and finance on Thursday, replacing the last top official seen to favour orthodox policy in a government gripped by a currency meltdown.

Nureddin Nebati was appointed after his predecessor Lutfi Elvan asked to be "released from his duties", according to the Official Gazette, as the lira hit a series of record lows - hammered by market concerns at the direction of economic policy.

Nebati, who served three years as a deputy finance minister, last week praised Erdogan's drive to bring down interest rates and said that Turkey had sought for years to implement a policy of low rates but had faced strong opposition.

"This time, we are determined to implement it," he wrote on Twitter (NYSE:TWTR), adding that there was "no problem" with keeping interest rates low in current market conditions.

The Central Bank has cut rates three times since September, slashing 400 basis points from its policy rate to bring it down to 15% last month, well below inflation of nearly 20%.

The lira crashed 27% in the last month alone. It weakened slightly to 13.5 against the dollar on Thursday after Nebati's appointment.

Elvan's departure had been widely expected and discussed by media and opposition politicians, and marks the latest stage in an overhaul of economic and monetary figures.

Erdogan has fired three central bank governors since mid-2019, and dismissed three of the bank's senior policymakers in October.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Like former Central Bank governor Naci Agbal, who was sacked in March, Elvan "was seen as supportive of more restrictive demand management policies and more focused on reducing inflation," said Murat Unur at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS).

"As a result, his resignation is likely to be taken negatively by the market that sees the need for policy tightening."

In an initial reaction to his appointment, Nebati wrote on Twitter: "My God, make it easy, do not make it difficult... make its outcome beneficial."

ELVAN'S YEAR

Elvan, a former deputy prime minister and longtime member of the ruling AK Party, was appointed a year ago after the dramatic resignation of Erdogan's son-in-law Berat Albayrak.

As the central bank shifted in September to a dovish stance, Elvan was seen as one of the last ministers who might convince Erdogan to reconsider given what analysts see as the bank's tattered credibility.

Elvan, along with then newly appointed central bank governor Agbal, were market-friendly technocrats who pivoted to more orthodox economic policies that began to reverse a years-long exodus of foreign investment that had picked up under Albayrak.

But the mood reversed in March when Erdogan abruptly sacked Agbal following interest rate hikes to 19%, paving the way to a subsequent 36% drop in the lira that accelerated into a meltdown this past week.

Elvan's departure is the latest in a rapid turnover at top economic positions including Erdogan's firing of three central bank governors in the last 2-1/2 years.

The central bank, now run by Sahap Kavcioglu, began easing in September and cut rates in mid-November by another 100 points to 15% in a move many analysts called reckless given Turkey's deeply negative real yields.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

The resulting currency crash has eaten deeply into Turks' earnings, sharply raised foreign debt obligations and prompted opposition calls for early elections to reset economic policy.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.