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The Week Ahead: 5 Things to Watch on the Economic Calendar

Published 03/12/2017, 05:54 AM
© Reuters.  5 Things to Watch on the Economic Calendar In The Week Ahead

Investing.com - Global financial markets will be busy with central bank meetings in the week ahead, with policy decisions due in the U.S., Japan, the U.K and Switzerland.

Investors will also keep an eye out for headlines coming out of a two-day meeting of G20 central bankers and finance ministers in Germany for further hints on the strength of the global economy and the future direction of monetary policy as well as foreign exchange rates.

Ahead of the coming week, Investing.com has compiled a list of the five biggest events on the economic calendar that are most likely to affect the markets.

1. Federal Reserve Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to raise the fed funds target range by a quarter point at the conclusion of its two-day policy meeting at 2:00PM ET (19:00GMT) on Wednesday, which would put it in a range between 0.75%-1%.

The U.S. central bank will also release its latest forecasts for economic growth and interest rates, known as the "dot-plot".

Fed Chair Janet Yellen is to hold what will be a closely-watched press conference 30 minutes after the release of the Fed's statement, as investors look for any hawkish change in tone about the economy or future rate hikes.

According to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool, the rate hike this week would be followed by two more increases later this year, next in September followed by another one in December, aligning market expectations with the Fed's current forecast for three rate hikes in 2017.

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Besides the Fed, this week's calendar also features U.S. data on inflation, retail sales, building permits, housing starts, initial jobless claims, industrial production, consumer sentiment as well as surveys on manufacturing conditions in the Philadelphia and New York regions.

Headlines from Washington will also be in focus, as traders await further details on President Donald Trump's promises of tax reform and infrastructure spending.

2. Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Decision

The Bank of Japan is seen keeping its short-term policy interest rate at minus 0.1% when it releases its latest rate decision and monetary policy statement at around 03:00GMT Thursday (11:00PM ET Wednesday).

The central bank is also expected to hold the 10-year government bond yield target at around 0%, while maintaining the net amount of Japanese government bonds it buys annually at around 80 trillion yen, as it waits for more evidence of a modest economic recovery.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will hold a press conference afterward to discuss the decision.

3. Bank of England Policy Announcement

The Bank of England will announce its rate decision at 12:00GMT (7:00AM ET) on Thursday, with analysts forecasting no change in policy.

Market players expect BOE policymakers to stick to their neutral stance on whether to cut or raise interest rates as they decide whether the economy needs more monetary stimulus to spur demand in the face of waning consumer spending or an interest rate hike to curb the recent spike in inflation.

The BOE raised its forecasts for growth and inflation last month, but appeared in no rush to raise interest rates as Prime Minister Theresa May intends to trigger the formal process for separating from the European Union by the end of March.

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Besides the BOE, traders will focus on monthly unemployment figures for further indications on the continued effect that the Brexit decision is having on the economy.

4. SNB policy assessment

The Swiss National Bank's quarterly policy assessment is due on Thursday at 8:30GMT (3:30AM ET). Most economists expect the central bank’s benchmark interest rate to remain unchanged at -0.75%.

The SNB is also expected to stick to its commitment to foreign currency interventions in order to reduce demand for the franc.

SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan recently repeated that the Swiss franc remains “significantly undervalued” and sounded concerned about the political risks from the European elections and Brexit.

5. G20 Meetings

Finance ministers and central bank heads from the world's 20 developed and developing economies, or the G20, will meet on Friday and Saturday in the German town of Baden Baden to discuss the world economy.

It will be the first such meeting attended by representatives of the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump, who has more protectionist policy views on trade.

A draft communique of this week's get-together showed that the world's financial leaders may no longer explicitly reject protectionism or competitive currency devaluations, promising only to keep an "open and fair international trading system".

The draft drops the phrase adopted by G20 finance ministers last year to "resist all forms of protectionism".

Stay up-to-date on all of this week's economic events by visiting: http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

Latest comments

Thank you very much for this update guys. I think that it's going to be okay, when the top bankers and others come together IT can be a good things for the Worlds economics... Stay positive
March 15 Debt ceiling? Kind of a big thing too. America runs out of cash in June.
It's only one thing to say: BUY USD on all Currency pair.
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