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Potential Fed pivot has crypto and macro analysts ultra-bullish on Bitcoin’s price prospects

Published 04/03/2023, 02:30 PM
Updated 04/03/2023, 04:00 PM
© Reuters

The United States Federal Reserve began its most aggressive quantitative tightening efforts in March 2022, raising benchmark interest rates in the year since from near-zero to 4.75% to 5% annually. While the central bank has successfully brought down inflation to some degree, the increasing interest rates are starting to cause cracks in the global banking industry.

The market expects the Fed to end quantitative tightening and provide favorable liquidity conditions to avoid a global financial crisis as the banks begin to fail. The shift in the Fed’s policy should have significant implications for financial assets.

CME FedWatch Tool as of March 30. Source: CME
Post-rate pause rallies in the S&P 500 index since 1984.
Correlation coefficient of Bitcoin-gold (top), and Bitcoin-S&P 500 index (bottom). Source: TradingView

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Latest comments

Who would the Fed pivot after OPEC slashed its production target? I would expect more rate hikes and no rate cut this year.
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