Bitcoin's sideways trade at $27,700 this Thursday, coupled with a 4.4% weekly rally, has sparked speculation of a possible bull market emergence amidst the ongoing crypto winter. Bitfinex Alpha's data reveals a consistent decrease in Bitcoin's exchange supply since May 2023, reaching a five-year low.
The Coin Days Destroyed (CDD) metric, which measures the age of coins being transacted to gauge investor behavior, indicates that both long-term investors and short-term holders are keeping their Bitcoins for extended periods. This trend includes those who acquired their assets during the bear market at prices below $20,000.
The persistence of these investors, along with changes in short-term holder behavior and widespread investor confidence, are contributing to the unique characteristics of this potential bull market. The reduction in supply on exchanges plays a key role in price discovery, signaling profit opportunities for those holding supply for 12-18 months.
Additionally, the marked decrease in exchange supply since May 2023 hints at the emergence of a bull market. Inactive long-term holder supply and bear market acquisitions are playing significant roles in this development.
In conclusion, despite the current crypto winter and Bitcoin's sideways trading pattern, various metrics and trends point towards the early onset of a bull market.
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