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Stifel raises Parker-Hannifin stock target on PMI correlation

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 04/03/2024, 02:00 PM
Updated 04/03/2024, 02:00 PM

On Wednesday, Stifel financial firm updated its outlook on Parker-Hannifin Corporation (NYSE: NYSE:PH), a leader in motion and control technologies. The firm increased the price target on the company's shares to $629 from the previous target of $588, while reiterating a Buy rating.

The revision follows an analysis of Parker-Hannifin's stock performance in relation to global economic indicators. Stifel's examination revealed a significant correlation between the average monthly year-over-year (y/y) changes in the company's stock price and the y/y changes in the global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). The correlation, with a robust R-square of approximately 0.58, suggests that the company's stock price is closely tied to the performance of the global manufacturing sector.

Over the past two decades, Parker-Hannifin has consistently outperformed the market, delivering substantial returns to investors. Stifel's assessment indicates that by following the trends suggested by the global PMI, investors could potentially enhance returns by strategically trading around their positions, in addition to employing a long-term buy-and-hold strategy.

While predicting some fluctuations in Parker-Hannifin's stock in the first half of 2024, Stifel's scenario analysis maintains a positive risk/reward outlook for the company over the next twelve months. This perspective is based on the historical data that has shown Parker-Hannifin's ability to thrive through various market cycles.

InvestingPro Insights

As Parker-Hannifin Corporation (NYSE: PH) continues to navigate the dynamics of the global manufacturing sector, InvestingPro data and tips provide additional context for investors considering the company's stock. With a market capitalization of $71.95 billion and a P/E ratio of 27.25, the company stands out in the Machinery industry. Notably, Parker-Hannifin has raised its dividend for 7 consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company's stock is also trading at a low P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth, which could signal an attractive entry point for investors.

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InvestingPro Tips highlight Parker-Hannifin's strong return over the last year, with a price total return of 63.8%. This performance is bolstered by a robust revenue growth of 15.39% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, indicating the company's ability to expand its financials amidst market challenges. Additionally, the stock's low price volatility aligns with Stifel's positive risk/reward outlook, further reinforcing the potential for steady gains.

For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/PH. To access these insights and more, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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