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RBC optimistic on PulteGroup stock, cites improved margins despite rate concerns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 04/24/2024, 07:10 AM

On Wednesday, RBC Capital Markets updated its outlook on PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) stock, a prominent home construction company, increasing its price target to $113 from $106 while keeping a Sector Perform rating.

The adjustment follows PulteGroup's first-quarter earnings, which exceeded expectations, and reflects a more optimistic view of the company's gross margin percentage and delivery numbers.

The firm's analyst cited the first quarter's robust performance, which included healthy demand and improved pricing and incentive trends, as pivotal factors for the raised earnings per share (EPS) forecast for fiscal year 2024 to $12.93. This marks a 10% increase from prior estimates. However, the analyst also noted a slight 1% reduction in the fiscal year 2025 EPS projections due to softer absorption rates.

PulteGroup's management has observed a strong market demand and better trends in pricing and incentives during the first quarter, leading to an increased guidance for the baseline gross margin percentage. Despite this positive outlook, the analyst acknowledged some uncertainties for the second half of the year, particularly due to the recent rise in interest rates, which may affect consumer behavior.

Early signs of a moderation in customer traffic have been noted, although the company's guidance assumes unchanged incentives, which the analyst believes could present some risks.

The report emphasized PulteGroup's continued excellence in execution and its ability to maintain top-tier returns on tangible equity (ROTE). The firm's decision to maintain the Sector Perform rating, while raising the price target, reflects a recognition of PulteGroup's consistent performance and the potential for further growth, balanced by the awareness of market risks and uncertainties ahead.

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InvestingPro Insights

In light of RBC Capital Markets' updated outlook on PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM), it's useful to consider additional insights provided by InvestingPro. PulteGroup has been demonstrating a strong financial performance, with a notable market capitalization of $23.79B. The company's P/E ratio stands at 8.63, indicating a potentially attractive valuation when compared to its earnings. Moreover, recent data shows that PulteGroup's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 reached $16.44B, although experiencing a slight decline of 1.32% from the previous year.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that PulteGroup has not only raised its dividend for 6 consecutive years but has also maintained dividend payments for 12 consecutive years, showcasing a commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, reflecting optimism about the company's future profitability, which is further supported by the prediction that PulteGroup will be profitable this year.

Investors seeking more comprehensive analysis can find a wealth of additional InvestingPro Tips by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/PHM. With the use of promo code PRONEWS24, new subscribers can enjoy an extra 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. For those considering PulteGroup as an investment, there are 13 more InvestingPro Tips available, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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