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Pivotal Research raises Netflix shares target, citing subscriber and ARPU potential

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 04/05/2024, 05:09 AM
© Reuters

On Friday, Pivotal Research adjusted its price target for Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) shares, elevating it from the previous $700 to a new high of $765 while reiterating a Buy rating. The firm's decision was influenced by optimistic subscriber and average revenue per user (ARPU) projections for the year 2024 and beyond, which are supported by strong ongoing momentum within Netflix's core business operations.

The analyst from Pivotal Research highlighted the perceived value of Netflix's service to consumers, suggesting that it offers both absolute and relative advantages that could lead to significant medium to long-term ARPU growth. This potential for increased revenue is a key factor in the revised price target.

The methodology behind the valuation of Netflix's stock involves a discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis with an 8% discount rate. Additionally, the firm applies a 17X terminal year EBITDA multiple for the year 2030, reflecting Netflix's status as the leading platform in the global pay video entertainment market.

The new price target of $765 implies a notable increase in the investment firm's expectations for Netflix's financial performance. The adjustment reflects confidence in the company's ability to continue growing its subscriber base and ARPU in the competitive streaming market.

InvestingPro Insights

The recent boost in Netflix's price target by Pivotal Research underscores the company's strong position in the entertainment industry, a sentiment echoed by several InvestingPro Tips. With a market capitalization of $267.07 billion and a P/E ratio of 50.7, Netflix is trading at a high earnings multiple, which is characteristic of its dominant status as a key player in the streaming sector. The company's robust performance is further highlighted by a significant one-year price total return of 80.27%, reflecting investor confidence and market momentum.

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It's worth noting that Netflix's liquid assets exceed its short-term obligations, indicating a healthy liquidity position, and it operates with a moderate level of debt, which is an attractive trait for investors seeking stability. The company's revenue growth of 6.67% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023 and a 22.47% increase in EBITDA during the same period demonstrate its ability to grow its financials in a competitive landscape.

Investors interested in a deeper analysis of Netflix's financial health and future prospects can explore additional InvestingPro Tips, with 16 more tips available on the platform. For those seeking to leverage this information, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. These insights can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the company's valuation and performance metrics, such as its high EBITDA valuation multiple and its position near the 52-week high.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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