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PRECIOUS-Gold hits record on euro, silver jumps to 31-year high

Published 04/10/2011, 10:12 PM
Updated 04/10/2011, 10:16 PM

* Gold strikes record, silver above $41 an ounce

* Gold is heading towards $1,518-technicals [ID:nL3E7FB03J]

* Coming Up: France Industrial output mm Feb 2011; 0645 GMT (Updates prices, adds quotes)

SINGAPORE, April 11 (Reuters) - Gold jumped to a record high for a fifth straight trading day on Monday as the euro hit a 15-month high against the U.S. dollar, while an increase in exchange traded fund holdings to an all-time high helped silver to its highest in more than three decades.

Heightened inflationary threats despite interest hikes by China and the European Central Bank boosted gold's safe haven appeal, while silver also attracted buying from investors looking for a cheaper alternative to bullion. The gold-to-silver ratio was at a 28-year low around 35.

Spot gold added $2.40 an ounce to $1,475.10 an ounce by 0133 GMT, having risen as high as $1,476.21.

"I think there is a good chance that gold could hit $1,500 an ounce within this quarter. And perhaps even higher if we see the weakness in the dollar persist and the Federal Reserve continues their relatively easy monetary policy," said Ong Yi Ling, investment analyst at Phillip Futures in Singapore.

"This week, perhaps, the focus could be on whether the Federal Reserve actually indicates to the market whether they will be exiting their loose monetary policy, and whether they display any hawkish signals."

Spot gold is heading towards $1,518 per ounce based on its wave pattern and a Fibonacci projection analysis, according to Wang Tao, a Reuters market analyst for commodities and energy technicals.

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For a 24-hour gold technical outlook: http://graphics.thomsonreuters.com/WT1/20111104085523.jpg

Spot silver rose as high as $41.52 an ounce, its strongest in 31 years. IShares Silver Trust said its holdings hit another record at 11,242.89 tonnes by April 8 from 11,192.80 tonnes on April 7.

The yen stayed on the backfoot on Monday, while while the euro extended gains to 15-month highs around $1.4488 , paving the way for a test of $1.4582, the January 2010 high.

The ECB raised rates by 25 basis points at its April meeting last week and signalled it was ready to tighten further if needed to check rising prices, but in contrast, both the Fed and Bank of Japan are expected to keep interest rates near zero for an extended period of time.

Janet Yellen, Fed Vice Chair, said on Saturday the U.S. economy is still not strong enough for the Fed to start reversing its extremely accommodative monetary policy. [ID:nN09236621]

NY Fed chief William Dudley speaks later on Monday and should also sound dovish.

U.S. gold futures for June added $2.50 an ounce to $1,476.6 an ounce after rising to a record at $1,478 an ounce.

Brent crude fell by more than $1 on Monday to $125.60 a barrel after the African Union said Muammar Gaddafi has accepted a roadmap for ending the civil war in Libya including an immediate ceasefire.

Japan's Nikkei benchmark fell on Monday after higher oil prices hit U.S. stocks on Friday.

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Precious metals prices 0133 GMT Metal             Last    Change  Pct chg  YTD pct chg  Turnover Spot Gold        1475.10    2.40   +0.16      3.92 Spot Silver        41.44    0.59   +1.44     34.28 Spot Platinum    1808.24    4.49   +0.25      2.30 Spot Palladium    800.25    9.50   +1.20      0.09 TOCOM Gold       4027.00    4.00   +0.10      7.99        38156 TOCOM Platinum   4949.00    3.00   +0.06      5.39         9023 TOCOM Silver      112.80    2.90   +2.64     39.26         1773 TOCOM Palladium  2190.00   26.00   +1.20      4.43          279 Euro/Dollar       1.4446 Dollar/Yen         84.72 TOCOM prices in yen per gram. Spot prices in $ per ounce. (Reporting by Lewa Pardomuan; Editing by Michael Urquhart)

Reuters Terminal users can see related news and prices by double clicking on the codes in brackets: - All precious metals headlines - Precious metals market reports - Daily fixing headlines - Technical analysis - Indian gold reports - European gold prices <0#PREC> - London interbank gold forward rates <0#GOFO=> - London silver forwards - Gold lease rates <0#LGLR=> - London Bullion Market Association - New York Comex gold <0#GC:> and silver <0#SI:> - New York platinum <0#PL:> and palladium <0#PA:> - Asian gold prices <0#PREC> - Australian precious metals prices <0#AUPREC=> - Shanghai Gold Exchange prices - Hong Kong gold exchange prices - Hong Kong bullion prices - Indian bullion prices <0#PREC-IN> - Japanese producer prices For Related News and other topics, double click on one of these codes: SPEED GUIDES

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