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Oil down as U.S. debt talks hit brakes; Crude still up on week

Published 05/19/2023, 12:24 PM
Updated 05/19/2023, 03:16 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Crude prices reversed early gains to end lower on Friday as talks to raise the U.S. debt ceiling hit an impasse again. But oil bulls still had some hurrah: the first weekly rise in five from gains between Monday and Wednesday.

President Joe Biden and his main Republican rival in Congress Kevin McCarthy had previously said they were closer than before to a deal to raise the $31.4 trillion U.S. debt ceiling, and that a conclusion could come as early as Sunday to avoid a federal default on payments by June 1.

By Friday though, it was clear that the talks were going nowhere. “White House is not being reasonable,” said a headline citing Republican debt negotiators. Another, which ran on Fortune.com and quoting Republican negotiator Garret Graves, was more affirmative on the standoff. “It’s time to press pause because it’s just not productive,” Graves was quoted as telling reporters. 

McCarthy himself said: “We’ve got to get movement from the White House, and we don’t have any movement yet.” He added that he and Biden had not spoken on Friday.

Ed Moya, analyst at online trading platform OANDA, added: “A big risk for debt-limit talks [was] that negotiations were too easy and that could have triggered an early vote."

Referencing the bailout package negotiations during the 2008-2009 Great Financial Crisis, Moya said: “Wall Street has seen this movie before and we needed to see some tension amongst negotiators, in order for a reasonable deal to be reached.” 

New York-traded West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, crude settled down 31 cents, or 0.5%, at $71.55 per barrel. Week-to-date though, WTI was up about 2%. The U.S. crude benchmark fell a cumulative 15% over four prior weeks.

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London-traded Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, settled down 28 cents, or 0.4%, at $75.58. For the week, Brent was also up 2% after four previous weeks of losses totaling 14%.

Both WTI and Brent had rallied by more than $1 earlier on Friday on optimism that the debt ceiling talks were making progress.

“Traders were reluctant to go into the weekend short, on the off chance that an agreement to raise the U.S. government’s debt ceiling is struck over the weekend,” Vandana Hari, founder of oil markets advisory Vanda Insights, said in comments carried by Reuters. 

Craig Erlam, another analyst at OANDA, concurred. “[A U.S. debt] default was almost certainly never a realistic possibility in the first place,” Erlam said. 

Also boosting oil was a weaker dollar, which makes commodities like crude which are priced in the greenback more affordable to holders of other currencies. The Dollar Index was down for the first time in five sessions even as some speculators held to the belief that the Federal Reserve will raise rates for an 11th straight time when the central bank’s policy makers meet on June 14.  

Latest comments

Financial institutions face increasing regulatory pressure.
Technology stocks continue to perform well.
my internet was off yesterday, I will fix it.
crude is looking for lower prices....so are the oil stocks....
Huge drop in rig count today. Bidenomics.
You please zoom in to recognize the post-pandemic peculiarities for what they are, and leave your political targeting at the door. We had a once in a century phenomenon which neither Trump nor Biden should be blamed for. Sans a blueprint to deal with this -- with everything from therapeutics to economic remedies (that had to be more responsive than the GFC era, with a record 20 mln people being laid off initially) -- both administrations did what seemed best under the circumstances. Thus, the seeds of the inflation that we have today was laid way back in 2020. You are, of course, seeing the full ramifications of all the actions/spending now, well into a year after the worst of the pandemic had dissipated. As for the rig count, it is only an indicator of future production, not necessarily the alpha and omega of it. These days, oil rig efficiency is higher. That's why you have the EIA projecting that oil output from the seven biggest shale basins is due to rise in June to record highs.
It's not a question of who damaged Brad, Stephen. He was just responding to your post. When you put something on a public forum, expect comments or outright challenges.
You make a good point, Barani. Inflation wasn't the only consequence of the fiscal response to the pandemic. It also kept millions from becoming unemployed, put a floor under the stock market and kept the US economy from going down the toilet. Stephen Fa is one of the most shallow commentators on this site because he brings no values or principles to bear, only contradiction.
Only 1% is not up if compare with down 5-6%. Global Demand is rising, better put aside this joking debt matters.
I really dont know what to say besides intresting...
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