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Oil rises to highest in 2023 on tight supply expectations

Published 09/13/2023, 08:20 PM
Updated 09/14/2023, 03:01 PM
© Reuters. An aerial view shows an oil factory of Idemitsu Kosan Co. in Ichihara, east of Tokyo, Japan November 12, 2021, in this photo taken by Kyodo.   Mandatory credit Kyodo/via REUTERS

By Arathy Somasekhar

HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil prices climbed on Thursday to their highest this year, as expectations of tighter supply outweighed worries about weaker economic growth and rising U.S. crude inventories.

Brent crude rose $1.82, or 1.98%, to settle at $93.70, after touching $93.89, its highest since November 2022.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) gained $1.64, or 1.85%, to $90.16, closing above $90 for the first time since November.

On Wednesday, the International Energy Agency said Saudi Arabia and Russia's extended oil output cuts will result in a market deficit through the fourth quarter. Prices briefly pulled back on a bearish U.S. inventories report before resuming their climb.

"That this genuinely bearish stock report only led to a brief temptation to sell speaks volumes and underlines the market mentality," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Both benchmarks remained in technically overbought territory.

Hedge funds have been buying crude oil futures for the past two or three weeks as "fundamentals continue to get stronger, driven mostly by heavy demand for both gasoline and diesel," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial.

A day before the IEA report, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) issued updated forecasts of solid demand and also pointed to a 2023 supply deficit if production cuts are maintained.

"The market is getting increasingly nervous about the sufficiency of supply," said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital.

"Russia and Saudi are acting in a way that could materially constrain supplies as we get into the peak northern hemisphere demand season, for the winter period," Kilduff added.

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The European Central Bank raised its key interest rate to a record peak but signalled this was likely its final move to tame inflation.

Investors see a 97% likelihood the U.S. Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady in its next meeting on Sept. 20, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Meanwhile, China's central bank said it would cut the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves for the second time this year to boost liquidity and support the country's economic recovery.

China is the world's second-largest oil consumer and its economic recovery has remained choppy, worrying markets about demand.

Latest comments

Once again, speculation.
adjusting for inflation, we have seen these kind of prices before..the Saudis and the Russians, because of economic constraints, can't hold these production levels for long. Expect more volatility as we move into the fall and winter seasons. trading should be very good for the short term technical trader.
A beam of light shining on priceless, billion year old, organic, gold.
The plan continueth
classify myself as upper class poor a short time ago I was lower middle class. thank God for my 2013 Mazda 3 and 36 miles to the gallon and paid off because this is pain that I haven't experienced since I was a little kid soda cost a nickel and then all of a sudden it was a time
Yeah. Aren't those a great little ride ??
they call that genuinely bearish report but don't say that when there are huge draws across the board. there was nothing bearish about it and everyone should know we normally get big draws going into the holiday weekend and builds coming after. no surprises here. bearish would imply that we were not expecting a build and that is not true. look at history and every other holiday.
The report actually indicated what happens: lot of oil/gasoline was imported by east/west coasts over the reported period, while domestic market, linked to Cushing, still showed sizable reduction in storage. Of course, this site “analyst(s)” talk about import/exports numbers only when they help their anti-oil agenda.
same news again and again just only for manipulating the market
above 89, can we see it to 94-98
The oil uptrend will likely continue for 2 more quarters, until spring 2024, when approaching the US elections will force Biden to do something, likely something stupid like draining SPR to zero.
 He will still need in lower gas price before the elections. Count on this.
 I never believed he was going to run for a second term. IMHO it was strategic...they said he was running bc they didn't want to have a really really really old lame duck in office. I expect someone will swoop in to replace him ..... we'll see!
 Having a dummy in WH fits perfectly to the goal.
No matter how much the dollar shrinks in value, due to inflation, the oil cartels will keep ahead of it with their price increases, (causing more inflation).
and oil money moves into gold...
Saudi and China will not agree with the US foreign policy hence OPEC is tightening Crude oil supply. Most probably the price will go back to $120 per barrel.
Yeah right
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