⌛ Did you miss ProPicks’ 13% gains in May? Subscribe now & catch June’s top AI-picked stocks early.Unlock Stocks

Natural gas futures - Weekly outlook: May 13 - 17

Published 05/12/2013, 10:56 AM
TTEF
-
CL
-
NG
-
NYF
-
FTNMX651010
-
RWD
-
Investing.com - Natural gas futures ended Friday’s session at a five-week low, as forecasts showing mild weather for the rest of May weighed on demand expectations for the fuel, while Thursday’s release of a bearish U.S. supply report also added to the selling pressure.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange, natural gas futures for delivery in June tumbled 2% on Friday to settle the week at USD3.902 per million British thermal units.

Earlier in the session, Nymex gas prices fell to a session low of USD3.901 per million British thermal units, the weakest level since April 4.

The June contract lost 3.65% on the week, the third consecutive weekly decline.

Updated weather forecasting models pointed to mild temperatures sticking around for much of the U.S. in the coming weeks, indicating that heating and cooling demand will be very low for the next couple of weeks.

Gas use usually hits a seasonal low with spring's mild temperatures, before warmer weather increases demand for gas-fired electricity generation to power air conditioning.

Sentiment on the commodity remained downbeat following Thursday’s bearish U.S. supply report, which showed that natural gas storage in the U.S. rose by 88 billion cubic feet, above expectations for an increase of 83 billion cubic feet.

Inventories rose by 30 billion cubic feet in the same week a year earlier, while the five-year average change for the week is a rise of 69 billion cubic feet.

Total U.S. natural gas storage stood at 1.865 trillion cubic feet as of last week, 5% below the five-year average for this time of year.

Early injection estimates for this week’s storage data range from 87 billion cubic feet to 108 billion cubic feet, compared to a more modest 56 billion cubic feet increase during the same week a year earlier.

The five-year average for the week is a build of 83 billion cubic feet.

Typically this time of year, stockpiles begin to climb as milder spring temperatures curb demand for natural gas.

Nymex gas prices have risen sharply in recent weeks, gaining almost 30% since mid-February, boosted by calls for colder temperatures in major consuming regions across the U.S. that helped tighten the market.

Gas futures rose to a 21-month high of USD4.442 per million British thermal units on May 1.

But prices have lost 12% since then, with some analysts warning of further losses with spring's low-demand shoulder season looming.

Elsewhere in the energy complex, light sweet crude oil futures for June delivery settled at USD95.94 a barrel by close of trade on Friday, adding 0.5% on the week.

Meanwhile, heating oil for June delivery advanced 0.7% over the week to settle at USD2.879 per gallon by close of trade Friday.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.