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Crude oil higher; Rising expectations of more Chinese stimulus help

Published 07/11/2023, 09:29 AM
© Reuters.

Investing.com -- Crude oil prices gained Tuesday, helped by growing expectations of more stimulus in China, the largest importer of crude in the world, as well as bullish OPEC comments regarding future demand.

By 09:20 ET (13:20 GMT), the U.S. crude futures traded 0.9% higher at $73.59 a barrel, while the Brent contract climbed 0.7% to $78.24.

More Chinese stimulus expected

China's new bank loans jumped more than expected in June, data from the People's Bank of China showed on Tuesday, with Beijing attempting to spur demand after three years of COVID curbs. 

Additionally, China's central bank on Monday extended until the end of 2024 some policies in a November rescue package to shore up the property sector, and traders are expecting further stimulus measures to boost the world’s second largest economy, which is struggling to recover from the ravages of the COVID pandemic.

This has helped the market build on the gains that followed supply cuts by top exporters Saudi Arabia and Russia for August, announced last week.

OPEC sees demand climbing

Additionally, global demand for all forms of energy is forecast to rise by 23% through 2045, OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said earlier Tuesday.

"We will require innovative solutions such as carbon capture utilisation and storage, and hydrogen projects in addition to a circular carbon economy, which has received a positive endorsement from the G20,” he said.

U.S. CPI could pressure risk assets

In the U.S., the largest consumer of energy in the world, the power grid operator in Texas forecast electricity use would break records again this week as residents in the state try to cope with a summer heatwave.

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However, most attention this week will be on the release of the latest inflation figures in the U.S., as these could influence the thinking of Fed officials ahead of the next policy-setting meeting later this month.

“This is important for markets, as it will shape expectations on monetary policy from the U.S. Fed in the months ahead. A number above year-on-year consensus (3.1%) would likely put some pressure on risk assets,” said analysts at ING, in a note.

Comments by a series of Fed officials Monday raised expectations that the U.S. central bank may be close to ending of its rate-hiking cycle, something that has resulted in the U.S. dollar hitting a two-month low.

A weaker dollar makes crude cheaper for holders of other currencies and often boosts oil demand.

Later this session sees the release of the EIA short-term energy outlook, as well as industry data from the American Petroleum Institute detailing the extent of the U.S. crude inventories.

Latest comments

It's called World Wide scam, and for many years unless it's stopped.
Interesting how OPEC thinks oil on fire till 2045 and the green earth goonies think it will be redundant by 2030
Oil goes higher, because it was/is extremely difficult to keep it down.The fundamentals are too strong.
China economy is in crisis , i read Chinese news everyday.
If it were down today, the articles headline would have been on fear of rates hikes, or fear of CPI adata, or markets waiting for the EIA and API data… i am just saying all this insensible
Expectations of more Chinese stimulus help is not a supply and demand fundamental. Oil traders are a threat to our country.
How bro?
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