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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision Jul 31, 2024 02:00PM ET

6 Weeks 4 Days 10 Hours 58 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.675
5.00 - 5.25
12.4%
5.25 - 5.50
87.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.75 - 5.00 0.1%
5.00 - 5.25 12.4% 12.4% 8.1%
5.25 - 5.50 87.6% 87.6% 91.8%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.770
4.75 - 5.00
8.2%
5.00 - 5.25
62.0%
5.25 - 5.50
29.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.50 - 4.75 0.1%
4.75 - 5.00 8.2% 7.7% 3.8%
5.00 - 5.25 62.0% 59.0% 46.6%
5.25 - 5.50 29.8% 33.3% 49.5%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 07, 2024 01:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.950
4.50 - 4.75
3.4%
4.75 - 5.00
30.7%
5.00 - 5.25
48.6%
5.25 - 5.50
17.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.25 - 4.50 0.0%
4.50 - 4.75 3.4% 3.0% 1.1%
4.75 - 5.00 30.7% 27.9% 15.9%
5.00 - 5.25 48.6% 48.9% 47.4%
5.25 - 5.50 17.3% 20.2% 35.6%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.065
4.25 - 4.50
2.7%
4.50 - 4.75
25.3%
4.75 - 5.00
45.0%
5.00 - 5.25
23.5%
5.25 - 5.50
3.4%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0%
4.25 - 4.50 2.7% 2.3% 0.7%
4.50 - 4.75 25.3% 22.1% 10.2%
4.75 - 5.00 45.0% 44.0% 35.3%
5.00 - 5.25 23.5% 26.9% 40.1%
5.25 - 5.50 3.4% 4.7% 13.7%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.190
4.00 - 4.25
1.7%
4.25 - 4.50
16.7%
4.50 - 4.75
37.5%
4.75 - 5.00
31.7%
5.00 - 5.25
11.1%
5.25 - 5.50
1.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0%
4.00 - 4.25 1.7% 1.4% 0.3%
4.25 - 4.50 16.7% 14.6% 4.9%
4.50 - 4.75 37.5% 35.7% 21.3%
4.75 - 5.00 31.7% 33.4% 37.4%
5.00 - 5.25 11.1% 13.1% 28.4%
5.25 - 5.50 1.3% 1.8% 7.6%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 12, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.400
3.75 - 4.00
0.9%
4.00 - 4.25
9.4%
4.25 - 4.50
27.4%
4.50 - 4.75
34.5%
4.75 - 5.00
21.1%
5.00 - 5.25
6.1%
5.25 - 5.50
0.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
4.00 - 4.25 9.4% 7.7% 2.2%
4.25 - 4.50 27.4% 24.5% 11.7%
4.50 - 4.75 34.5% 34.6% 28.0%
4.75 - 5.00 21.1% 23.8% 33.7%
5.00 - 5.25 6.1% 7.8% 19.8%
5.25 - 5.50 0.6% 0.9% 4.5%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Apr 23, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.500
3.50 - 3.75
0.5%
3.75 - 4.00
6.2%
4.00 - 4.25
20.7%
4.25 - 4.50
31.9%
4.50 - 4.75
26.1%
4.75 - 5.00
11.7%
5.00 - 5.25
2.7%
5.25 - 5.50
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3.75 - 4.00 6.2% 5.1% 1.1%
4.00 - 4.25 20.7% 18.2% 6.6%
4.25 - 4.50 31.9% 30.8% 19.3%
4.50 - 4.75 26.1% 27.8% 30.6%
4.75 - 5.00 11.7% 13.8% 27.2%
5.00 - 5.25 2.7% 3.5% 12.7%
5.25 - 5.50 0.2% 0.4% 2.4%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 04, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.710
3.25 - 3.50
0.1%
3.50 - 3.75
2.0%
3.75 - 4.00
9.9%
4.00 - 4.25
23.5%
4.25 - 4.50
30.4%
4.50 - 4.75
22.4%
4.75 - 5.00
9.4%
5.00 - 5.25
2.0%
5.25 - 5.50
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.00 - 3.25 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 2.0% 2.1% 0.2%
3.75 - 4.00 9.9% 9.7% 2.1%
4.00 - 4.25 23.5% 22.7% 8.9%
4.25 - 4.50 30.4% 29.8% 21.3%
4.50 - 4.75 22.4% 22.8% 30.0%
4.75 - 5.00 9.4% 10.1% 24.7%
5.00 - 5.25 2.0% 2.4% 10.9%
5.25 - 5.50 0.2% 0.2% 2.0%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 16, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.780
3.00 - 3.25
0.1%
3.25 - 3.50
1.6%
3.50 - 3.75
8.2%
3.75 - 4.00
20.6%
4.00 - 4.25
28.9%
4.25 - 4.50
24.1%
4.50 - 4.75
12.2%
4.75 - 5.00
3.6%
5.00 - 5.25
0.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 1.6% 1.7% 0.2%
3.50 - 3.75 8.2% 8.1% 1.6%
3.75 - 4.00 20.6% 19.9% 7.1%
4.00 - 4.25 28.9% 28.3% 18.1%
4.25 - 4.50 24.1% 24.3% 27.8%
4.50 - 4.75 12.2% 12.8% 26.0%
4.75 - 5.00 3.6% 4.0% 14.4%
5.00 - 5.25 0.6% 0.7% 4.2%
5.25 - 5.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.5%
Updated: Jun 15, 2024 12:35AM EDT

Fed Fund Rates

News

European stocks slip lower at the end of a turbulent week
European stocks slip lower at the end of a turbulent week By Investing.com - Jun 14, 2024

Investing.com - European stock markets fell Friday, ending a turbulent week on a negative note as investors digested a deluge of information potentially guiding future global monetary policy. At 03:10...

Analysis

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