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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jul 30, 2025 02:00PM ET
2
Weeks
5
Days
21
Hours
41
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 30, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.670
4.00 - 4.25
6.4%
4.25 - 4.50
93.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 93.6% | 94.7% | 95.7% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.760
3.75 - 4.00
4.1%
4.00 - 4.25
61.8%
4.25 - 4.50
34.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 61.8% | 67.7% | 62.6% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 34.1% | 28.6% | 34.7% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.860
3.50 - 3.75
2.7%
3.75 - 4.00
42.4%
4.00 - 4.25
43.4%
4.25 - 4.50
11.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 42.4% | 44.8% | 41.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 43.4% | 42.6% | 44.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 11.4% | 10.2% | 12.4% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.135
3.25 - 3.50
1.8%
3.50 - 3.75
29.1%
3.75 - 4.00
43.1%
4.00 - 4.25
22.2%
4.25 - 4.50
3.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 29.1% | 31.4% | 28.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 43.1% | 43.3% | 43.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 22.2% | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 26, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.200
3.00 - 3.25
0.9%
3.25 - 3.50
15.3%
3.50 - 3.75
36.0%
3.75 - 4.00
32.7%
4.00 - 4.25
13.1%
4.25 - 4.50
1.9%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 15.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 36.0% | 37.3% | 35.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 32.7% | 32.0% | 33.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 13.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.355
2.75 - 3.00
0.5%
3.00 - 3.25
8.7%
3.25 - 3.50
26.5%
3.50 - 3.75
34.2%
3.75 - 4.00
22.1%
4.00 - 4.25
7.1%
4.25 - 4.50
0.9%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 26.5% | 28.1% | 25.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 34.2% | 34.3% | 34.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 22.1% | 20.8% | 22.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.440
2.50 - 2.75
0.1%
2.75 - 3.00
2.9%
3.00 - 3.25
14.0%
3.25 - 3.50
28.8%
3.50 - 3.75
30.6%
3.75 - 4.00
17.6%
4.00 - 4.25
5.2%
4.25 - 4.50
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 14.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 28.8% | 30.1% | 28.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 30.6% | 30.0% | 30.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 17.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 17, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.565
2.50 - 2.75
1.6%
2.75 - 3.00
8.6%
3.00 - 3.25
21.6%
3.25 - 3.50
29.7%
3.50 - 3.75
24.0%
3.75 - 4.00
11.3%
4.00 - 4.25
2.9%
4.25 - 4.50
0.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 21.6% | 23.2% | 21.6% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 29.7% | 30.0% | 29.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 24.0% | 22.6% | 24.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.645
2.25 - 2.50
0.5%
2.50 - 2.75
3.8%
2.75 - 3.00
12.6%
3.00 - 3.25
24.1%
3.25 - 3.50
27.9%
3.50 - 3.75
20.0%
3.75 - 4.00
8.7%
4.00 - 4.25
2.1%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 12.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 24.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 27.9% | 27.6% | 27.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 20.0% | 18.4% | 19.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 16, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.740
2.00 - 2.25
0.2%
2.25 - 2.50
1.4%
2.50 - 2.75
6.2%
2.75 - 3.00
15.8%
3.00 - 3.25
25.2%
3.25 - 3.50
25.8%
3.50 - 3.75
16.9%
3.75 - 4.00
6.9%
4.00 - 4.25
1.6%
4.25 - 4.50
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 16.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.2% | 26.0% | 25.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 25.8% | 25.1% | 25.3% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 16.9% | 15.5% | 16.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 28, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.790
2.00 - 2.25
0.4%
2.25 - 2.50
2.3%
2.50 - 2.75
8.0%
2.75 - 3.00
17.5%
3.00 - 3.25
25.3%
3.25 - 3.50
24.1%
3.50 - 3.75
15.1%
3.75 - 4.00
5.9%
4.00 - 4.25
1.3%
4.25 - 4.50
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 17.5% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.3% | 25.9% | 25.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 24.1% | 24.2% | 24.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 15.1% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 09, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.850
2.00 - 2.25
0.7%
2.25 - 2.50
3.1%
2.50 - 2.75
9.3%
2.75 - 3.00
18.6%
3.00 - 3.25
25.1%
3.25 - 3.50
22.9%
3.50 - 3.75
13.8%
3.75 - 4.00
5.2%
4.00 - 4.25
1.1%
4.25 - 4.50
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 - 1.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 18.6% | 19.1% | 18.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 25.1% | 25.7% | 25.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 22.9% | 22.9% | 23.2% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Updated: Jul 10, 2025 03:55PM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
Dollar falls to multi-year lows; rate cuts, trade deals and tax bill in focus
By Investing.com - Jul 01, 2025
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar retreated further Tuesday, falling to multi-year lows on growing expectations of interest rate cuts, while President Donald Trump’s spending bill stoked fiscal...
Dollar retreats on rate cut optimism; euro close to multi-year high
By Investing.com - Jun 30, 2025
Investing.com - The U.S. dollar fell Monday, remaining close to multi-year lows and weighed by optimism over trade deals as well as growing expectations of the Federal reserve cutting interest rates...
European stocks rally on boosted global sentiment; key inflation data due
By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025
Investing.com - European stocks rose Friday, ending the week on an optimistic note after weathering a few weeks of heightened Middle East tensions and uncertainties over tariffs. The DAX index in...
Analysis
Media’s 'Hamster-Like' Attention Span Will Fuel These 7.9% Dividends
By Michael Foster - Jul 10, 2025
Tariffs. Inflation. Soaring interest rates. The financial press, of course, blares about all of them—day in and day out. Truth is, they have to do this to get your attention. But it’s also unhealthy...
Circle Stock Faces Reality Check After Hype-Driven Crypto IPO
By Timothy Fries - Jul 08, 2025
Even before President Trump took office, preference for stablecoins instead of a central bank digital currency (CBDC) had been strongly signaled by the current U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick....
Gold's Role in a Goldilocks Market: Opportunities Amid Inflation and Geopolitical
By Ian Blanke - Jul 08, 2025
Gold prices have risen roughly 58% from the lows seen in Q2 2024 (March) to the highs recorded in April 2025. In 2025 alone, Gold Futures have climbed 30.74% from the start of the year through the...