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Fed Rate Monitor Tool

 
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Fed Interest Rate Decision

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Fed Interest Rate Decision May 01, 2024 02:00PM ET

1 Weeks 5 Days 21 Hours 29 Minutes

Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.

Meeting Time: May 01, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.680
5.25 - 5.50
96.8%
5.50 - 5.75
3.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
5.00 - 5.25 0.1% 3.6%
5.25 - 5.50 96.8% 99.9% 96.4%
5.50 - 5.75 3.2%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 12, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.695
5.00 - 5.25
18.7%
5.25 - 5.50
78.8%
5.50 - 5.75
2.6%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.75 - 5.00 0.0% 0.9%
5.00 - 5.25 18.7% 18.8% 26.2%
5.25 - 5.50 78.8% 81.2% 72.9%
5.50 - 5.75 2.6%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 31, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.715
4.75 - 5.00
5.4%
5.00 - 5.25
36.0%
5.25 - 5.50
56.7%
5.50 - 5.75
1.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.50 - 4.75 0.0% 0.3%
4.75 - 5.00 5.4% 6.6% 9.2%
5.00 - 5.25 36.0% 40.7% 41.7%
5.25 - 5.50 56.7% 52.6% 48.8%
5.50 - 5.75 1.8%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Sep 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.825
4.50 - 4.75
2.3%
4.75 - 5.00
18.3%
5.00 - 5.25
44.7%
5.25 - 5.50
33.7%
5.50 - 5.75
1.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.25 - 4.50 0.0% 0.1%
4.50 - 4.75 2.3% 3.2% 4.0%
4.75 - 5.00 18.3% 23.0% 22.9%
5.00 - 5.25 44.7% 46.4% 44.7%
5.25 - 5.50 33.7% 27.4% 28.3%
5.50 - 5.75 1.1%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Nov 07, 2024 01:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.935
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
4.50 - 4.75
5.9%
4.75 - 5.00
24.3%
5.00 - 5.25
42.2%
5.25 - 5.50
26.2%
5.50 - 5.75
0.8%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
4.00 - 4.25 0.0% 0.0%
4.25 - 4.50 0.5% 0.8% 1.1%
4.50 - 4.75 5.9% 8.3% 8.9%
4.75 - 5.00 24.3% 29.0% 28.4%
5.00 - 5.25 42.2% 41.5% 40.5%
5.25 - 5.50 26.2% 20.3% 21.1%
5.50 - 5.75 0.8%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Dec 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 94.995
4.00 - 4.25
0.2%
4.25 - 4.50
2.8%
4.50 - 4.75
13.7%
4.75 - 5.00
31.9%
5.00 - 5.25
35.4%
5.25 - 5.50
15.5%
5.50 - 5.75
0.5%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.75 - 4.00 0.0% 0.0%
4.00 - 4.25 0.2% 0.4% 0.5%
4.25 - 4.50 2.8% 4.8% 4.6%
4.50 - 4.75 13.7% 19.4% 17.7%
4.75 - 5.00 31.9% 35.7% 33.9%
5.00 - 5.25 35.4% 30.1% 31.7%
5.25 - 5.50 15.5% 9.4% 11.5%
5.50 - 5.75 0.5%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.060
4.00 - 4.25
1.0%
4.25 - 4.50
5.9%
4.50 - 4.75
18.9%
4.75 - 5.00
32.9%
5.00 - 5.25
29.7%
5.25 - 5.50
11.1%
5.50 - 5.75
0.3%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0%
3.75 - 4.00 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
4.00 - 4.25 1.0% 1.6% 1.9%
4.25 - 4.50 5.9% 8.7% 9.0%
4.50 - 4.75 18.9% 23.8% 23.1%
4.75 - 5.00 32.9% 34.3% 33.2%
5.00 - 5.25 29.7% 24.6% 25.0%
5.25 - 5.50 11.1% 6.9% 7.7%
5.50 - 5.75 0.3%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Mar 12, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.165
3.75 - 4.00
0.3%
4.00 - 4.25
2.5%
4.25 - 4.50
9.8%
4.50 - 4.75
23.1%
4.75 - 5.00
31.9%
5.00 - 5.25
24.2%
5.25 - 5.50
7.9%
5.50 - 5.75
0.2%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
3.75 - 4.00 0.3% 0.5% 0.8%
4.00 - 4.25 2.5% 3.5% 4.5%
4.25 - 4.50 9.8% 12.8% 14.2%
4.50 - 4.75 23.1% 26.6% 26.8%
4.75 - 5.00 31.9% 31.7% 30.1%
5.00 - 5.25 24.2% 19.9% 18.6%
5.25 - 5.50 7.9% 5.1% 4.8%
5.50 - 5.75 0.2%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Apr 23, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.225
3.50 - 3.75
0.1%
3.75 - 4.00
1.1%
4.00 - 4.25
5.3%
4.25 - 4.50
14.9%
4.50 - 4.75
26.5%
4.75 - 5.00
29.0%
5.00 - 5.25
18.0%
5.25 - 5.50
5.0%
5.50 - 5.75
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
3.00 - 3.25 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.50 - 3.75 0.1% 0.3% 0.3%
3.75 - 4.00 1.1% 2.0% 2.0%
4.00 - 4.25 5.3% 8.1% 7.7%
4.25 - 4.50 14.9% 19.5% 18.4%
4.50 - 4.75 26.5% 29.1% 27.9%
4.75 - 5.00 29.0% 25.9% 26.3%
5.00 - 5.25 18.0% 12.6% 14.1%
5.25 - 5.50 5.0% 2.6% 3.3%
5.50 - 5.75 0.1%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Jun 04, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.360
3.50 - 3.75
0.3%
3.75 - 4.00
1.7%
4.00 - 4.25
6.6%
4.25 - 4.50
16.5%
4.50 - 4.75
26.8%
4.75 - 5.00
27.4%
5.00 - 5.25
16.1%
5.25 - 5.50
4.3%
5.50 - 5.75
0.1%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.75 - 3.00 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
3.50 - 3.75 0.3% 0.4% 0.7%
3.75 - 4.00 1.7% 2.6% 3.2%
4.00 - 4.25 6.6% 9.2% 9.9%
4.25 - 4.50 16.5% 20.5% 20.3%
4.50 - 4.75 26.8% 28.8% 27.6%
4.75 - 5.00 27.4% 24.5% 23.8%
5.00 - 5.25 16.1% 11.6% 11.8%
5.25 - 5.50 4.3% 2.3% 2.6%
5.50 - 5.75 0.1%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT
Meeting Time: Jul 16, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price: 95.405
3.25 - 3.50
0.2%
3.50 - 3.75
1.1%
3.75 - 4.00
4.6%
4.00 - 4.25
12.4%
4.25 - 4.50
22.5%
4.50 - 4.75
27.2%
4.75 - 5.00
20.9%
5.00 - 5.25
9.3%
5.25 - 5.50
1.9%
Target Rate Current Probability% Previous Day Probability% Previous Week Probability%
2.50 - 2.75
2.75 - 3.00 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.00 - 3.25 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3.25 - 3.50 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
3.50 - 3.75 1.1% 1.7% 1.8%
3.75 - 4.00 4.6% 6.4% 6.2%
4.00 - 4.25 12.4% 15.8% 14.6%
4.25 - 4.50 22.5% 25.3% 23.6%
4.50 - 4.75 27.2% 26.3% 25.9%
4.75 - 5.00 20.9% 17.0% 18.4%
5.00 - 5.25 9.3% 6.2% 7.6%
5.25 - 5.50 1.9% 1.0% 1.4%
5.50 - 5.75 0.1%
Updated: Apr 18, 2024 04:05PM EDT

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