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Will M&T Bank's (MTB) Rally Continue On Solid Fundamentals?

Published 03/02/2020, 09:31 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Shares of M&T Bank Corporation (NYSE:MTB) have gained 2.5% over the past six months. During the same period, the Finance sector has gained 1.4%, while the S&P 500 rallied 1%. Strong prospects, driven by steady revenue growth and solid capital position, seem to be the primary reasons for the company’s performance.

Despite facing a similar operating backdrop, particularly concerns over the outbreak of deadly coronavirus and lower interest rates, M&T Bank, with a market cap of $19.2 billion, has been able to outperform some of its peers such as U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB) and Fifth Third (NASDAQ:FITB) , which have lost 8.2% and 1%, respectively. Another major bank, Comerica (NYSE:CMA) has lost 9.1% in the same time period.

Six Months Price Performance


So what is driving the stock? Let’s take a look at M&T Bank’s key metrics:

The company’s net interest income has witnessed growth every year since the financial crisis with support from rising earning assets. It recorded a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 9.8% over the last five years (ended 2019). We expect growth in interest income in the near term as well, on the back of a decent lending scenario.

Also, revival of mortgage banking as a result of rise in refinancing activities and origination volume, and improved trading environment are expected to support M&T Bank’s top-line expansion. Over the last three years (ended 2019), it witnessed a CAGR of 5.5%

M&T Bank’s decent liquidity position has enabled it to impress investors with steady capital deployment activities. In November 2019, the company increased its quarterly common stock cash dividend by 10%. Also, it has a share buyback plan of up to $1.6 billion over the four-quarter period, effective July 2019, in place. Given its earnings strength, the bank is expected to sustain improved capital deployments and continue enhancing shareholders’ value.

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However, efforts to enhance customers experience through investments in operational infrastructure and technology keep M&T Bank’s costs elevated. It witnessed a CAGR of 5.3% over the last five years (2015-2019). In the quarters ahead, we expect the company’s expense base to keep rising.

Nevertheless, the company’s return on equity of 13.37% compares favorably with the industry’s 11.95%. This reflects its efficiency in utilizing shareholders’ funds.

We believe that the above factors are enough to support a steady price rally for M&T Bank. Also, analysts are optimistic of its performance, and have thus raised its current-year earnings estimates by 3.8% to $14 over the past 60 days.

This apart, M&T Bank is part of the industry, which has a Zacks Industry Rank #27 (Top 11%). Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperforms the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

M&T Bank’s strong fundamentals have helped it grab a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Given the strong U.S. economy, M&T Bank’s limited global exposure might turn out to be boon at a time like this. Thus, the stock seems to be a wise investment option.

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Comerica Incorporated (CMA): Free Stock Analysis Report

U.S. Bancorp (USB): Free Stock Analysis Report

M&T Bank Corporation (MTB): Free Stock Analysis Report

Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB): Free Stock Analysis Report

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