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Union Pacific (UNP) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know

Published 10/15/2021, 05:50 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Union Pacific (UNP) closed at $225.16 in the latest trading session, marking a +1.73% move from the prior day. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 0.75% gain on the day.

Prior to today's trading, shares of the railroad had gained 8.8% over the past month. This has outpaced the Transportation sector's gain of 0.85% and the S&P 500's loss of 0.05% in that time.

UNP will be looking to display strength as it nears its next earnings release, which is expected to be October 21, 2021. In that report, analysts expect UNP to post earnings of $2.53 per share. This would mark year-over-year growth of 25.87%. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $5.51 billion, up 12.07% from the year-ago period.

Looking at the full year, our Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest analysts are expecting earnings of $9.93 per share and revenue of $21.58 billion. These totals would mark changes of +21.25% and +10.49%, respectively, from last year.

It is also important to note the recent changes to analyst estimates for UNP. Recent revisions tend to reflect the latest near-term business trends. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the company's business and profitability.

Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the past 30 days, our consensus EPS projection has moved 0.85% lower. UNP is holding a Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell) right now.

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In terms of valuation, UNP is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 22.28. This represents a discount compared to its industry's average Forward P/E of 22.56.

Meanwhile, UNP's PEG ratio is currently 2.23. The PEG ratio is similar to the widely-used P/E ratio, but this metric also takes the company's expected earnings growth rate into account. The Transportation - Rail industry currently had an average PEG ratio of 2.23 as of yesterday's close.

The Transportation - Rail industry is part of the Transportation sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 230, which puts it in the bottom 10% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

You can find more information on all of these metrics, and much more, on Zacks.com.


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