Have you been paying attention to shares of Tailored Brands (NYSE:TLRD) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 13.7% over the past month. TLRD hit a new 52-week high of $27.40 in the previous session. Tailored Brands has gained 25.4% since the start of the year compared to the 0.5% move for the Consumer Discretionary sector and the 7.2% year-to-date return for its peer group.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on March 14, 2018, Tailored Brands reported breakeven EPS versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.11 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 6.14%.
For the current fiscal year, Tailored Brands is expected to post earnings of $2.45 per share on $3.3 billion in revenues. This represents a 11.36% change in EPS on a -0.08% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $2.73 per share on $3.36 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 11.43% and 1.72%, respectively.
Valuation Metrics
Tailored Brands may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for TLRD? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Tailored Brands has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 11.2X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 5.2X versus its peer group's average of 12.2X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.68. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
Zacks Rank
We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Tailored Brands currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Tailored Brands meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though TLRD shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.
Tailored Brands, Inc. (TLRD): Free Stock Analysis Report
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